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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

SAN JOSE TEACALCO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SAN JOSE TEACALCO / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-50

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN JOSE TEACALCO / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-ed4732ff2e4aea637bb2fb5a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA24.3%
  • PT19.1%
  • PVEM17.0%
  • PRI9.3%
  • PRD7.4%
  • PANALT6.3%
  • PAC5.0%
  • RSP3.2%
  • MC2.3%
  • PAN1.5%
  • FXM1.2%
  • PAN_PRI0.8%
Results for event-460cb786247a6831fb2b7bfb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S5805f76f30/202486424.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S5805f76f30/202467719.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S5805f76f30/202460317%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S5805f76f30/20243309.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S5805f76f30/20242627.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S5805f76f30/20242226.3%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S5805f76f30/20241765%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S5805f76f30/20241143.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S5805f76f30/2024822.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S5805f76f30/2024551.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S5805f76f30/2024421.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/S5805f76f30/2024290.8%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND1122.1%
  • PAC19.1%
  • PRI10.0%
  • CAND_IND129.9%
  • PISSI9.0%
  • MC6.6%
  • PEST6.4%
  • PAN5.5%
  • MORENA3.3%
  • PRD2.8%
  • FXM2.3%
  • PES0.3%
  • PVEM0.2%
  • PS0.2%
  • PT0.1%
  • PANALT0.0%
  • RSP0.0%
Results for event-bb52fc3458998070059859c3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND11mexico/S371ce5d7cc/202177122.1%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S371ce5d7cc/202166519.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S371ce5d7cc/202134810%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND12mexico/S371ce5d7cc/20213459.9%UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/S371ce5d7cc/20213129%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S371ce5d7cc/20212306.6%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/S371ce5d7cc/20212236.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S371ce5d7cc/20211915.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S371ce5d7cc/20211153.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S371ce5d7cc/2021972.8%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S371ce5d7cc/2021812.3%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S371ce5d7cc/2021100.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S371ce5d7cc/202170.2%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S371ce5d7cc/202170.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S371ce5d7cc/202130.1%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S371ce5d7cc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S371ce5d7cc/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI24.0%
  • PAC21.4%
  • PVEM11.2%
  • MORENA11.2%
  • PAN10.9%
  • ES8.3%
  • PRD8.1%
  • PS1.6%
  • MC0.3%
  • PT0.2%
Results for event-1be9f36017aeb32f32d1237a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/Sdbafbd3275/201675524%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sdbafbd3275/201667221.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sdbafbd3275/201635311.2%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sdbafbd3275/201635111.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sdbafbd3275/201634110.9%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/Sdbafbd3275/20162628.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sdbafbd3275/20162548.1%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/Sdbafbd3275/2016491.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sdbafbd3275/201680.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sdbafbd3275/201650.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

77.740–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.41087962962963, oldest_gap=2.7213114754098378, previous_gap=3.1130690161527177

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

63.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.5914351851851851,9.54861111111111,7.581018518518518,19.58912037037037,17.447916666666668,2.372685185185185,25,16.869212962962962],[5.609397944199706,10.220264317180616,2.8487518355359764,0.0881057268722467,0.2055800293685756,6.7547723935389135,3.3773861967694567,70.8957415565345],[11.180327868852459,24.75409836065574,8.327868852459016,0.16393442622950818,11.573770491803279,0.26229508196721313,11.508196721311476,32.22950819672131]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

45.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.5914351851851851,9.54861111111111,7.581018518518518,19.58912037037037,17.447916666666668,2.372685185185185,25,16.869212962962962],[5.609397944199706,10.220264317180616,2.8487518355359764,0.0881057268722467,0.2055800293685756,6.7547723935389135,3.3773861967694567,70.8957415565345],[11.180327868852459,24.75409836065574,8.327868852459016,0.16393442622950818,11.573770491803279,0.26229508196721313,11.508196721311476,32.22950819672131]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.13percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.5914351851851851,9.54861111111111,7.581018518518518,19.58912037037037,17.447916666666668,2.372685185185185,25,16.869212962962962],[5.609397944199706,10.220264317180616,2.8487518355359764,0.0881057268722467,0.2055800293685756,6.7547723935389135,3.3773861967694567,70.8957415565345],[11.180327868852459,24.75409836065574,8.327868852459016,0.16393442622950818,11.573770491803279,0.26229508196721313,11.508196721311476,32.22950819672131]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN JOSE TEACALCO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-50. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S5805f76f30, mexico--S371ce5d7cc, mexico--Sdbafbd3275.