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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TLAXCALA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · TLAXCALA / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-33

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TLAXCALA / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-667294488aeea11b90d1064a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA33.0%
  • MC17.6%
  • PAN12.3%
  • PRI9.3%
  • PAC9.2%
  • PVEM3.4%
  • PRD3.0%
  • FXM2.9%
  • PT2.6%
  • PANALT1.2%
  • PAN_PRI0.9%
  • RSP0.7%
Results for event-c26e01c83e81505ec1f8e8e0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S01325e3559/202418,32533%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S01325e3559/20249,77817.6%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S01325e3559/20246,82312.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S01325e3559/20245,1819.3%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S01325e3559/20245,1109.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S01325e3559/20241,9103.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S01325e3559/20241,6823%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S01325e3559/20241,6112.9%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S01325e3559/20241,4292.6%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S01325e3559/20246601.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/S01325e3559/20245010.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S01325e3559/20243640.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA32.7%
  • PAN14.6%
  • PAC13.8%
  • PRI13.7%
  • CAND_IND1910.8%
  • PT2.6%
  • PANALT1.6%
  • FXM1.3%
  • MC1.2%
  • PVEM1.0%
  • PES0.9%
  • RSP0.9%
  • PISSI0.8%
  • PEST0.6%
  • PS0.5%
  • PRD0.5%
Results for event-9ddf6e32e4f972beb7593069
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S20e060fa3c/202116,07732.7%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S20e060fa3c/20217,14914.6%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S20e060fa3c/20216,78213.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S20e060fa3c/20216,74213.7%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND19mexico/S20e060fa3c/20215,28810.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S20e060fa3c/20211,2812.6%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S20e060fa3c/20218011.6%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S20e060fa3c/20216421.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S20e060fa3c/20216131.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S20e060fa3c/20215001%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S20e060fa3c/20214580.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S20e060fa3c/20214360.9%UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/S20e060fa3c/20213800.8%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/S20e060fa3c/20213000.6%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S20e060fa3c/20212650.5%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S20e060fa3c/20212630.5%UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL_PS29.4%
  • PRD_PT18.9%
  • PAC15.3%
  • PAN14.0%
  • MORENA7.7%
  • CAND_IND235.3%
  • ES2.9%
  • MC2.8%
Results for event-8fdd7eee502cd60ad42d8326
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PVEM_PANAL_PSmexico/S74f90f6577/201612,17229.4%UnknownRecorded
PRD_PTmexico/S74f90f6577/20167,82818.9%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S74f90f6577/20166,32015.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S74f90f6577/20165,79414%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S74f90f6577/20163,1957.7%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND23mexico/S74f90f6577/20162,1845.3%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/S74f90f6577/20161,2052.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S74f90f6577/20161,1402.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

18.590–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=16.013414771236928, oldest_gap=10.904161855514836, previous_gap=18.608916772620212

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.01percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[12.783377674523177,9.706973432757522,3.1513470978378986,2.6773335331809496,3.5785213774496945,18.31978116686027,34.3331959380972,15.449469779293288],[14.900890009796361,14.052566854951332,0.5481793359318007,2.6700293890822686,1.0421660378931572,1.2776955624570105,33.509806782416575,31.9986660274715],[14.543902806365782,0,0,0,0,2.861589437220744,8.019980922737085,74.57452683367639]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[12.783377674523177,9.706973432757522,3.1513470978378986,2.6773335331809496,3.5785213774496945,18.31978116686027,34.3331959380972,15.449469779293288],[14.900890009796361,14.052566854951332,0.5481793359318007,2.6700293890822686,1.0421660378931572,1.2776955624570105,33.509806782416575,31.9986660274715],[14.543902806365782,0,0,0,0,2.861589437220744,8.019980922737085,74.57452683367639]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.59percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[12.783377674523177,9.706973432757522,3.1513470978378986,2.6773335331809496,3.5785213774496945,18.31978116686027,34.3331959380972,15.449469779293288],[14.900890009796361,14.052566854951332,0.5481793359318007,2.6700293890822686,1.0421660378931572,1.2776955624570105,33.509806782416575,31.9986660274715],[14.543902806365782,0,0,0,0,2.861589437220744,8.019980922737085,74.57452683367639]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TLAXCALA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-33. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S01325e3559, mexico--S20e060fa3c, mexico--S74f90f6577.