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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TENANCINGO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · TENANCINGO / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-27

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TENANCINGO / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-ff27c6ab9594a4214d4a21e5
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA26.8%
  • PRI21.7%
  • PT20.4%
  • PAN9.1%
  • FXM5.7%
  • PVEM3.2%
  • PRD3.0%
  • RSP2.4%
  • MC1.1%
  • PANALT0.2%
  • PAC0.0%
Results for event-a77f26cfdf4d5ffca86e882e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sa98c17d08b/20241,65026.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sa98c17d08b/20241,34021.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sa98c17d08b/20241,26020.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sa98c17d08b/20245599.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sa98c17d08b/20243535.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sa98c17d08b/20241973.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sa98c17d08b/20241853%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sa98c17d08b/20241462.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sa98c17d08b/2024691.1%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/Sa98c17d08b/2024130.2%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sa98c17d08b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA25.2%
  • PRI23.2%
  • PAN15.9%
  • RSP10.9%
  • FXM6.4%
  • PS5.0%
  • PEST3.4%
  • PAC2.7%
  • PT1.9%
  • PES1.5%
  • PRD0.3%
  • MC0.2%
  • PANALT0.1%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • PISSI0.0%
Results for event-b97c85f9e1d7588eae1dcf31
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sfa08ba6888/20211,38525.2%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sfa08ba6888/20211,27723.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sfa08ba6888/202187515.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sfa08ba6888/202160210.9%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sfa08ba6888/20213506.4%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/Sfa08ba6888/20212745%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/Sfa08ba6888/20211873.4%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sfa08ba6888/20211482.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sfa08ba6888/20211021.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sfa08ba6888/2021811.5%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sfa08ba6888/2021190.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sfa08ba6888/2021100.2%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/Sfa08ba6888/202160.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sfa08ba6888/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/Sfa08ba6888/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN29.1%
  • PRI_PANAL_PS21.8%
  • PAC20.4%
  • MC11.3%
  • MORENA9.6%
  • PRD3.5%
  • PT1.0%
  • PVEM0.3%
Results for event-14fde71c9fa41700833abab3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/Se48757dd4d/20161,48329.1%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PANAL_PSmexico/Se48757dd4d/20161,10921.8%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Se48757dd4d/20161,03920.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Se48757dd4d/201657411.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Se48757dd4d/20164909.6%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Se48757dd4d/20161773.5%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se48757dd4d/2016501%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Se48757dd4d/2016170.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

77.050–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.370755370755369, oldest_gap=7.57238307349666, previous_gap=2.031602708803611

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.71percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[9.684684684684685,23.215523215523216,3.2051282051282053,21.82952182952183,3.413028413028413,1.1954261954261953,28.586278586278585,8.87040887040887],[16.45974416854778,24.021820917983447,0.35741158765989467,1.9187358916478556,0,0.18811136192626035,26.05342362678706,31.000752445447702],[30.02632111763515,0,3.5837214010933387,1.0123506782749545,0.3441992306134845,11.621785786596478,9.921036647094553,43.49058513869204]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[9.684684684684685,23.215523215523216,3.2051282051282053,21.82952182952183,3.413028413028413,1.1954261954261953,28.586278586278585,8.87040887040887],[16.45974416854778,24.021820917983447,0.35741158765989467,1.9187358916478556,0,0.18811136192626035,26.05342362678706,31.000752445447702],[30.02632111763515,0,3.5837214010933387,1.0123506782749545,0.3441992306134845,11.621785786596478,9.921036647094553,43.49058513869204]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[9.684684684684685,23.215523215523216,3.2051282051282053,21.82952182952183,3.413028413028413,1.1954261954261953,28.586278586278585,8.87040887040887],[16.45974416854778,24.021820917983447,0.35741158765989467,1.9187358916478556,0,0.18811136192626035,26.05342362678706,31.000752445447702],[30.02632111763515,0,3.5837214010933387,1.0123506782749545,0.3441992306134845,11.621785786596478,9.921036647094553,43.49058513869204]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TENANCINGO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-27. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sa98c17d08b, mexico--Sfa08ba6888, mexico--Se48757dd4d.