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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA CRUZ TLAXCALA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SANTA CRUZ TLAXCALA / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-26

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA CRUZ TLAXCALA / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-4507adecdf9a4d338b3f4c74
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA21.9%
  • RSP21.3%
  • PANALT17.6%
  • PAN17.5%
  • PVEM4.4%
  • PRD3.8%
  • PT2.9%
  • MC2.8%
  • PRI2.6%
  • PAC1.1%
  • PAN_PRI0.8%
  • FXM0.3%
Results for event-83a63a23cb84f7ae652e4dae
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20242,69821.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20242,63021.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20242,16817.6%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20242,15117.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20245374.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20244663.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20243552.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20243422.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Se5a2663cc7/20243222.6%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Se5a2663cc7/20241371.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/Se5a2663cc7/2024960.8%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Se5a2663cc7/2024430.3%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA20.2%
  • PAC14.0%
  • PS11.3%
  • PAN10.1%
  • MC10.0%
  • PVEM9.9%
  • RSP9.4%
  • PRI9.0%
  • PT1.4%
  • FXM0.7%
  • PRD0.4%
  • PES0.4%
  • PANALT0.3%
  • PEST0.3%
  • PISSI0.1%
Results for event-de4edb9632fcc7ac932b8645
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sc1c138143f/20212,13020.2%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sc1c138143f/20211,47214%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/Sc1c138143f/20211,19711.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sc1c138143f/20211,06910.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sc1c138143f/20211,05110%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sc1c138143f/20211,0489.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sc1c138143f/20219919.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sc1c138143f/20219509%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sc1c138143f/20211501.4%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sc1c138143f/2021690.7%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sc1c138143f/2021410.4%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sc1c138143f/2021370.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/Sc1c138143f/2021350.3%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/Sc1c138143f/2021280.3%UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/Sc1c138143f/2021140.1%UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND2122.7%
  • PRI18.3%
  • PAN15.7%
  • PVEM14.9%
  • MC10.2%
  • PRD3.6%
  • PT3.4%
  • PAC2.9%
  • MORENA2.0%
  • CAND_IND221.7%
  • PS0.9%
  • ES0.6%
Results for event-16cea54135deb1438f790283
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND21mexico/S5f4da74a51/20162,03922.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S5f4da74a51/20161,64318.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S5f4da74a51/20161,41515.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S5f4da74a51/20161,34214.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S5f4da74a51/201691310.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S5f4da74a51/20163263.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S5f4da74a51/20163083.4%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S5f4da74a51/20162582.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S5f4da74a51/20161802%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND22mexico/S5f4da74a51/20161561.7%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S5f4da74a51/2016800.9%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/S5f4da74a51/2016510.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

86.420–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.5692758476349944, oldest_gap=4.545976351739181, previous_gap=6.399533164753938

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[18.00753453327752,2.695688572624529,3.901213897028045,2.971954792800335,4.4956048555881125,2.863122645458351,22.586856425282544,42.47802427794057],[10.396809959151916,9.239447578292161,0.3987551060105038,1.4588601439408675,10.192569539000194,10.221746741879011,20.715814043960318,37.37599688776503],[16.243829640684194,18.86120996441281,3.7423946734014466,3.5357593846860293,15.405808747560556,10.481001033176444,2.066352887154173,29.663643668924347]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.36percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[18.00753453327752,2.695688572624529,3.901213897028045,2.971954792800335,4.4956048555881125,2.863122645458351,22.586856425282544,42.47802427794057],[10.396809959151916,9.239447578292161,0.3987551060105038,1.4588601439408675,10.192569539000194,10.221746741879011,20.715814043960318,37.37599688776503],[16.243829640684194,18.86120996441281,3.7423946734014466,3.5357593846860293,15.405808747560556,10.481001033176444,2.066352887154173,29.663643668924347]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.98percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[18.00753453327752,2.695688572624529,3.901213897028045,2.971954792800335,4.4956048555881125,2.863122645458351,22.586856425282544,42.47802427794057],[10.396809959151916,9.239447578292161,0.3987551060105038,1.4588601439408675,10.192569539000194,10.221746741879011,20.715814043960318,37.37599688776503],[16.243829640684194,18.86120996441281,3.7423946734014466,3.5357593846860293,15.405808747560556,10.481001033176444,2.066352887154173,29.663643668924347]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA CRUZ TLAXCALA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-26. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Se5a2663cc7, mexico--Sc1c138143f, mexico--S5f4da74a51.