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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANCTORUM DE LAZARO CARDENAS — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SANCTORUM DE LAZARO CARDENAS / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-20

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANCTORUM DE LAZARO CARDENAS / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-3bb5bcdef58f6574eb8cf2cf
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PANALT31.1%
  • MORENA15.7%
  • PAN14.7%
  • PVEM11.9%
  • PAC10.6%
  • FXM6.8%
  • PRI3.4%
  • PAN_PRI1.6%
  • MC0.6%
  • PT0.4%
  • PRD0.1%
  • RSP0.0%
Results for event-573682d589b70ab6032d1431
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANALTmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/20241,48531.1%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/202474715.7%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/202470114.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/202456611.9%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/202450610.6%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/20243266.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sb9d1a77f88/20241623.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/Sb9d1a77f88/2024781.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/2024300.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/2024170.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/202450.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sb9d1a77f88/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA17.0%
  • PRI15.5%
  • PAN12.7%
  • PS12.3%
  • RSP10.1%
  • PT9.4%
  • PRD8.8%
  • PES4.7%
  • PAC3.2%
  • PEST2.9%
  • PANALT0.2%
  • PISSI0.1%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • MC0.0%
  • FXM0.0%
Results for event-a9e4d551d904b9cc495b2ba4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S67d8623493/202176317%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S67d8623493/202169615.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S67d8623493/202157012.7%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S67d8623493/202155212.3%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S67d8623493/202145510.1%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S67d8623493/20214219.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S67d8623493/20213978.8%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S67d8623493/20212094.7%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S67d8623493/20211423.2%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/S67d8623493/20211282.9%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S67d8623493/2021110.2%UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/S67d8623493/202150.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S67d8623493/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S67d8623493/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S67d8623493/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN19.6%
  • PT17.7%
  • PAC13.6%
  • PRD12.9%
  • PANAL10.4%
  • ES8.3%
  • PS4.9%
  • PRI_PVEM4.3%
  • MC2.5%
  • MORENA2.5%
Results for event-13bb45e166b36117bc22e45c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S37a5121874/201686719.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S37a5121874/201678117.7%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S37a5121874/201660113.6%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S37a5121874/201656912.9%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S37a5121874/201645910.4%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/S37a5121874/20163688.3%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S37a5121874/20162154.9%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/S37a5121874/20161904.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S37a5121874/20161092.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S37a5121874/20161092.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

48.790–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.963659961064245, oldest_gap=2.0149953139643877, previous_gap=1.540584042308577

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.22percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[15.163313865455333,3.5042180402336145,0.1081548777849881,0.36772658446895956,12.243132165260652,0.6489292667099286,16.158338741077223,51.806186459009304],[13.106461255461026,16.0036790066682,9.128535295470224,9.680386295700162,0,0,17.544263048976777,34.53667509772362],[20.313964386129335,0,13.331771321462043,18.298969072164947,0,2.553889409559513,2.553889409559513,42.947516401124645]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[15.163313865455333,3.5042180402336145,0.1081548777849881,0.36772658446895956,12.243132165260652,0.6489292667099286,16.158338741077223,51.806186459009304],[13.106461255461026,16.0036790066682,9.128535295470224,9.680386295700162,0,0,17.544263048976777,34.53667509772362],[20.313964386129335,0,13.331771321462043,18.298969072164947,0,2.553889409559513,2.553889409559513,42.947516401124645]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[15.163313865455333,3.5042180402336145,0.1081548777849881,0.36772658446895956,12.243132165260652,0.6489292667099286,16.158338741077223,51.806186459009304],[13.106461255461026,16.0036790066682,9.128535295470224,9.680386295700162,0,0,17.544263048976777,34.53667509772362],[20.313964386129335,0,13.331771321462043,18.298969072164947,0,2.553889409559513,2.553889409559513,42.947516401124645]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SANCTORUM DE LAZARO CARDENAS — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-20. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sb9d1a77f88, mexico--S67d8623493, mexico--S37a5121874.