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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

APETATITLAN DE ANTONIO CARVAJAL — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · APETATITLAN DE ANTONIO CARVAJAL / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-2

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
APETATITLAN DE ANTONIO CARVAJAL / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-64c5ab3f50933892a93356c8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAC35.7%
  • PAN29.0%
  • MORENA10.9%
  • MC7.6%
  • PVEM6.4%
  • PRI2.1%
  • PT1.5%
  • FXM1.5%
  • PAN_PRI1.0%
  • PRD0.5%
  • RSP0.3%
  • PANALT0.0%
Results for event-61d92801944768b1860b1f55
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PACmexico/S683ae5f18c/20243,58635.7%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S683ae5f18c/20242,91629%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S683ae5f18c/20241,09210.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S683ae5f18c/20247637.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S683ae5f18c/20246446.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S683ae5f18c/20242062.1%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S683ae5f18c/20241511.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S683ae5f18c/20241491.5%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/S683ae5f18c/2024961%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S683ae5f18c/2024550.5%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S683ae5f18c/2024350.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S683ae5f18c/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN25.9%
  • MORENA18.2%
  • PS17.9%
  • MC8.9%
  • PISSI5.3%
  • FXM5.1%
  • PRI3.8%
  • PES3.7%
  • PT3.4%
  • PANALT2.2%
  • PAC2.1%
  • PEST0.6%
  • PVEM0.4%
  • RSP0.4%
  • PRD0.3%
Results for event-99e95f6adc4f7ab6bb3078bb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/Sec5420f678/20212,27225.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sec5420f678/20211,59918.2%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/Sec5420f678/20211,57117.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sec5420f678/20217778.9%UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/Sec5420f678/20214655.3%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sec5420f678/20214435.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sec5420f678/20213363.8%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sec5420f678/20213203.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sec5420f678/20213023.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/Sec5420f678/20211912.2%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sec5420f678/20211852.1%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/Sec5420f678/2021510.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sec5420f678/2021360.4%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sec5420f678/2021310.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sec5420f678/2021300.3%UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD25.0%
  • PAN23.8%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL_PS19.2%
  • PAC14.7%
  • CAND_IND55.9%
  • MORENA5.3%
  • CAND_IND61.8%
  • ES1.4%
  • MC0.6%
Results for event-46da165d97374ac7424bc514
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/20161,99625%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/20161,90223.8%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANAL_PSmexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/20161,53419.2%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/20161,17414.7%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND5mexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/20164715.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/20164215.3%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND6mexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/20161441.8%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/20161121.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb3ddcda1dc/2016500.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

66.940–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.9122046837924245, oldest_gap=1.2045105074320865, previous_gap=7.817400394935532

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[30.08356545961003,2.1252450221809553,0.5674197874754978,1.5578252347054575,6.643969875167647,7.8716599607964515,11.265861962240793,39.88445269782317],[26.39098617725636,3.9028923219886167,0.3484725287489836,3.507956789406435,0.41816703449878034,9.025438494598676,18.573585782320826,37.83250087118132],[24.372116863147102,0,25.57662737057919,0,0,0.6406970784213224,5.394669400307534,44.015889287544844]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.41percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[30.08356545961003,2.1252450221809553,0.5674197874754978,1.5578252347054575,6.643969875167647,7.8716599607964515,11.265861962240793,39.88445269782317],[26.39098617725636,3.9028923219886167,0.3484725287489836,3.507956789406435,0.41816703449878034,9.025438494598676,18.573585782320826,37.83250087118132],[24.372116863147102,0,25.57662737057919,0,0,0.6406970784213224,5.394669400307534,44.015889287544844]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

21.8percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[30.08356545961003,2.1252450221809553,0.5674197874754978,1.5578252347054575,6.643969875167647,7.8716599607964515,11.265861962240793,39.88445269782317],[26.39098617725636,3.9028923219886167,0.3484725287489836,3.507956789406435,0.41816703449878034,9.025438494598676,18.573585782320826,37.83250087118132],[24.372116863147102,0,25.57662737057919,0,0,0.6406970784213224,5.394669400307534,44.015889287544844]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “APETATITLAN DE ANTONIO CARVAJAL — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-2. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S683ae5f18c, mexico--Sec5420f678, mexico--Sb3ddcda1dc.