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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TEPETITLA DE LARDIZABAL — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · TEPETITLA DE LARDIZABAL / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-19

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TEPETITLA DE LARDIZABAL / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-5c1970f74d60db1e0dbb6c7a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT23.5%
  • PVEM19.5%
  • FXM16.8%
  • PANALT14.3%
  • MORENA8.7%
  • RSP5.6%
  • MC4.5%
  • PAN1.1%
  • PRD0.9%
  • PRI0.8%
  • PAC0.7%
Results for event-9723dd8d407c6204734d4cac
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/S3914090f0f/20242,82223.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S3914090f0f/20242,34219.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S3914090f0f/20242,01916.8%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S3914090f0f/20241,72314.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S3914090f0f/20241,0498.7%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S3914090f0f/20246735.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S3914090f0f/20245394.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S3914090f0f/20241321.1%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S3914090f0f/20241120.9%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S3914090f0f/2024950.8%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S3914090f0f/2024900.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA22.3%
  • PT20.4%
  • MC15.1%
  • PAN12.2%
  • PRD6.6%
  • PES5.2%
  • FXM3.1%
  • PAC3.0%
  • PS2.8%
  • PVEM2.7%
  • PANALT2.6%
  • PRI0.6%
  • RSP0.5%
  • PEST0.0%
  • PISSI0.0%
Results for event-267dfa6d20c22833829a04b4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S666b9a9bea/20212,28822.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S666b9a9bea/20212,08520.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S666b9a9bea/20211,55115.1%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S666b9a9bea/20211,24712.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S666b9a9bea/20216776.6%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S666b9a9bea/20215285.2%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S666b9a9bea/20213153.1%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S666b9a9bea/20213053%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S666b9a9bea/20212892.8%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S666b9a9bea/20212812.7%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S666b9a9bea/20212682.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S666b9a9bea/2021600.6%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S666b9a9bea/2021510.5%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/S666b9a9bea/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/S666b9a9bea/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN28.6%
  • PANAL18.7%
  • MORENA14.4%
  • ES13.8%
  • PRI_PVEM11.4%
  • PRD8.4%
  • PS0.6%
  • PT0.6%
  • PAC0.5%
  • MC0.4%
Results for event-ecb651deb9933079e2f5cfe8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S07df94b251/20162,68528.6%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S07df94b251/20161,75518.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S07df94b251/20161,35214.4%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/S07df94b251/20161,29313.8%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/S07df94b251/20161,07011.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S07df94b251/20167858.4%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S07df94b251/2016580.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S07df94b251/2016550.6%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S07df94b251/2016480.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S07df94b251/2016360.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

79.430–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.139358399448085, oldest_gap=10.178395534639378, previous_gap=2.0412267471091

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.1383235598482235,0.8192480165574336,0.9658502932045533,24.33597792342187,20.196619523973784,4.6481545360469125,9.046222835460503,38.84960331148672],[12.538964303670186,0.6033182503770739,6.807440925087984,20.96530920060332,2.8255404725992963,15.59577677224736,23.00653594771242,17.657114127702364],[29.386012914523366,0,8.59144139214184,0.6019481230163073,0,0.39400240779249207,14.79697931487359,46.2296158476524]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.2percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.1383235598482235,0.8192480165574336,0.9658502932045533,24.33597792342187,20.196619523973784,4.6481545360469125,9.046222835460503,38.84960331148672],[12.538964303670186,0.6033182503770739,6.807440925087984,20.96530920060332,2.8255404725992963,15.59577677224736,23.00653594771242,17.657114127702364],[29.386012914523366,0,8.59144139214184,0.6019481230163073,0,0.39400240779249207,14.79697931487359,46.2296158476524]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.68percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.1383235598482235,0.8192480165574336,0.9658502932045533,24.33597792342187,20.196619523973784,4.6481545360469125,9.046222835460503,38.84960331148672],[12.538964303670186,0.6033182503770739,6.807440925087984,20.96530920060332,2.8255404725992963,15.59577677224736,23.00653594771242,17.657114127702364],[29.386012914523366,0,8.59144139214184,0.6019481230163073,0,0.39400240779249207,14.79697931487359,46.2296158476524]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TEPETITLA DE LARDIZABAL — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-19. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S3914090f0f, mexico--S666b9a9bea, mexico--S07df94b251.