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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

IXTENCO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · IXTENCO / TLAXCALA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-29-16

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
IXTENCO / TLAXCALA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-d6464a00cc85d238604d45d8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA20.1%
  • RSP19.1%
  • FXM12.4%
  • PRI11.9%
  • PT10.1%
  • PANALT9.3%
  • PVEM6.0%
  • PAC3.3%
  • MC2.5%
  • PAN2.4%
  • PAN_PRI0.5%
  • PRD0.0%
Results for event-1e227794bf1cef09ceb20a72
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S908a445da4/202492520.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S908a445da4/202487919.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S908a445da4/202457112.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S908a445da4/202454711.9%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S908a445da4/202446710.1%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S908a445da4/20244279.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S908a445da4/20242776%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S908a445da4/20241523.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S908a445da4/20241132.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S908a445da4/20241092.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/S908a445da4/2024230.5%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S908a445da4/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PS14.2%
  • PANALT13.0%
  • PEST12.7%
  • PT11.3%
  • MORENA10.9%
  • MC9.1%
  • PRI7.6%
  • PISSI7.5%
  • RSP2.6%
  • PAC2.5%
  • PAN2.5%
  • PRD1.7%
  • FXM1.4%
  • PES0.8%
  • PVEM0.0%
Results for event-1fdafd2319ccfbf33fc8338e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PSmexico/S10c3f2abf1/202155714.2%UnknownRecorded
PANALTmexico/S10c3f2abf1/202151113%UnknownRecorded
PESTmexico/S10c3f2abf1/202149912.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S10c3f2abf1/202144311.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S10c3f2abf1/202142810.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S10c3f2abf1/20213569.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S10c3f2abf1/20212987.6%UnknownRecorded
PISSImexico/S10c3f2abf1/20212967.5%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S10c3f2abf1/20211032.6%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S10c3f2abf1/20211002.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S10c3f2abf1/2021992.5%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S10c3f2abf1/2021671.7%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S10c3f2abf1/2021551.4%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S10c3f2abf1/2021310.8%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S10c3f2abf1/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2016

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ES14.0%
  • PT12.6%
  • PANAL10.7%
  • MORENA10.0%
  • PS9.9%
  • PRD9.1%
  • PRI8.9%
  • CAND_IND137.3%
  • PAC4.9%
  • PAN4.7%
  • PVEM3.4%
  • MC0.4%
Results for event-5e4b9b0f487f5c5d6abf9450
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ESmexico/S08cf140697/201652114%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S08cf140697/201647012.6%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S08cf140697/201639810.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S08cf140697/201637210%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S08cf140697/20163679.9%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S08cf140697/20163389.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S08cf140697/20163308.9%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND13mexico/S08cf140697/20162717.3%UnknownRecorded
PACmexico/S08cf140697/20161824.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S08cf140697/20161744.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S08cf140697/20161253.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S08cf140697/2016140.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

94.420–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.0244988864142535, oldest_gap=1.4317798989331827, previous_gap=1.1969815248503775

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

20.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.4276169265033407,12.182628062360802,0,10.400890868596882,6.169265033407572,2.516703786191537,20.601336302895323,45.70155902004454],[2.576112412177986,7.7543585740307055,1.7434296122820714,11.527452511059069,0,9.263596148842051,11.137132448607858,55.99791829300026],[4.8848961257720385,9.264458169567659,9.489051094890511,13.194834362717575,3.5092644581695676,0.3930376193149916,10.443571027512633,48.82088714205502]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

16.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.4276169265033407,12.182628062360802,0,10.400890868596882,6.169265033407572,2.516703786191537,20.601336302895323,45.70155902004454],[2.576112412177986,7.7543585740307055,1.7434296122820714,11.527452511059069,0,9.263596148842051,11.137132448607858,55.99791829300026],[4.8848961257720385,9.264458169567659,9.489051094890511,13.194834362717575,3.5092644581695676,0.3930376193149916,10.443571027512633,48.82088714205502]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.4percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.4276169265033407,12.182628062360802,0,10.400890868596882,6.169265033407572,2.516703786191537,20.601336302895323,45.70155902004454],[2.576112412177986,7.7543585740307055,1.7434296122820714,11.527452511059069,0,9.263596148842051,11.137132448607858,55.99791829300026],[4.8848961257720385,9.264458169567659,9.489051094890511,13.194834362717575,3.5092644581695676,0.3930376193149916,10.443571027512633,48.82088714205502]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “IXTENCO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-29-16. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S908a445da4, mexico--S10c3f2abf1, mexico--S08cf140697.