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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

BUSTAMANTE — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · BUSTAMANTE / TAMAULIPAS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-28-6

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
BUSTAMANTE / TAMAULIPAS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-15ef88f33e859326c265757a
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI61.3%
  • PT_PVEM_MORENA36.0%
  • PRD0.0%
  • MC0.0%
Results for event-661b9321db4ec875d359f462
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRImexico/S759af4ed84/20242,74561.3%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEM_MORENAmexico/S759af4ed84/20241,61336%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S759af4ed84/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S759af4ed84/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN56.3%
  • PT_MORENA24.9%
  • PRI15.1%
  • RSP0.8%
  • PES0.5%
  • PVEM0.4%
  • MC0.2%
  • PRD0.1%
  • FXM0.1%
Results for event-0588000bf83cdfa3128b627b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S81a6c8d889/20212,65456.3%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENAmexico/S81a6c8d889/20211,17524.9%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S81a6c8d889/202171215.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S81a6c8d889/2021360.8%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S81a6c8d889/2021240.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S81a6c8d889/2021190.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S81a6c8d889/2021100.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S81a6c8d889/202170.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S81a6c8d889/202170.1%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI58.7%
  • PAN38.2%
  • PT_MORENA_ES1.5%
  • PRD0.1%
  • MC0.0%
  • PANAL0.0%
  • PVEM0.0%
Results for event-60b6b4f929374997f6728f0d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S3e98137826/20182,69458.7%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S3e98137826/20181,75238.2%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S3e98137826/2018711.5%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S3e98137826/201840.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S3e98137826/201820%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S3e98137826/201820%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S3e98137826/201810%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=25.975217989903626, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=31.847545219638242

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[57.14900947459087,15.33161068044789,0.1507321274763135,0,0.409130060292851,0.2153316106804479,0,26.74418604651163],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[57.14900947459087,15.33161068044789,0.1507321274763135,0,0.409130060292851,0.2153316106804479,0,26.74418604651163],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[57.14900947459087,15.33161068044789,0.1507321274763135,0,0.409130060292851,0.2153316106804479,0,26.74418604651163],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-28-6", "year": 2018, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": -1.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “BUSTAMANTE — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-28-6. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S759af4ed84, mexico--S81a6c8d889, mexico--S3e98137826.