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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

GUSTAVO DIAZ ORDAZ — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · GUSTAVO DIAZ ORDAZ / TAMAULIPAS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-28-15

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
GUSTAVO DIAZ ORDAZ / TAMAULIPAS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-1ba48b75b4e3c22d62290e1e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_PVEM_MORENA64.3%
  • PAN_PRI27.7%
  • MC5.2%
  • PRD0.0%
Results for event-1859f8c23a09b766d094daff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_PVEM_MORENAmexico/S9ff73c232f/20245,57264.3%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/S9ff73c232f/20242,40627.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S9ff73c232f/20244525.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S9ff73c232f/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA28.1%
  • PES23.0%
  • PAN20.1%
  • FXM18.5%
  • PRI4.9%
  • PVEM2.6%
  • RSP0.2%
  • MC0.2%
  • PRD0.1%
Results for event-3aa1808f94e0362dcf93a80a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENAmexico/Sa95c6fed68/20212,09328.1%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sa95c6fed68/20211,71523%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sa95c6fed68/20211,49720.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sa95c6fed68/20211,37618.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sa95c6fed68/20213674.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sa95c6fed68/20211942.6%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sa95c6fed68/2021170.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sa95c6fed68/2021130.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sa95c6fed68/202170.1%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES43.2%
  • PAN_PRD_MC30.4%
  • PRI22.9%
  • PANAL0.3%
  • PVEM0.2%
Results for event-128d7a7a5d896b1fe242de23
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S6bec7e8bcb/20183,46443.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S6bec7e8bcb/20182,44030.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S6bec7e8bcb/20181,83922.9%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S6bec7e8bcb/2018270.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S6bec7e8bcb/2018150.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=37.55634638196916, oldest_gap=13.153500321130377, previous_gap=5.193021019370789

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.37percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,5.361803084223013,0,94.63819691577699],[20.566011814809727,5.041901360076934,0.09616705591427394,0,2.6652012639098777,0.1785959609836516,0,71.45212254430554],[0,23.622350674373795,0,0,0.1926782273603083,0,0,76.18497109826589]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

23.31percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,5.361803084223013,0,94.63819691577699],[20.566011814809727,5.041901360076934,0.09616705591427394,0,2.6652012639098777,0.1785959609836516,0,71.45212254430554],[0,23.622350674373795,0,0,0.1926782273603083,0,0,76.18497109826589]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.84percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,5.361803084223013,0,94.63819691577699],[20.566011814809727,5.041901360076934,0.09616705591427394,0,2.6652012639098777,0.1785959609836516,0,71.45212254430554],[0,23.622350674373795,0,0,0.1926782273603083,0,0,76.18497109826589]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “GUSTAVO DIAZ ORDAZ — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-28-15. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S9ff73c232f, mexico--Sa95c6fed68, mexico--S6bec7e8bcb.