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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CUNDUACAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CUNDUACAN / TABASCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-27-6

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUNDUACAN / TABASCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-2e41413960274b82d9ddfb07
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA43.2%
  • CAND_IND341.6%
  • PVEM5.2%
  • MC1.6%
  • PRD1.5%
  • PRI0.8%
  • PAN0.4%
Results for event-79801c260c125328da60fcfb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sb9d277ce2c/202426,53143.2%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND3mexico/Sb9d277ce2c/202425,54641.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sb9d277ce2c/20243,1885.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb9d277ce2c/20249531.6%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sb9d277ce2c/20249391.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sb9d277ce2c/20244870.8%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb9d277ce2c/20242410.4%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND443.4%
  • MORENA39.1%
  • PRD4.2%
  • PAN_PRI2.8%
  • PES2.1%
  • PT1.2%
  • MC1.1%
  • RSP1.0%
  • PVEM0.5%
  • FXM0.0%
Results for event-7e27f05231d3346601f39ac5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND4mexico/S6b447e17d6/202121,58543.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S6b447e17d6/202119,45039.1%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S6b447e17d6/20212,1124.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/S6b447e17d6/20211,4052.8%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S6b447e17d6/20211,0642.1%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S6b447e17d6/20216111.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S6b447e17d6/20215641.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S6b447e17d6/20215221%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S6b447e17d6/20212380.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S6b447e17d6/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA44.8%
  • PAN_PRD_MC22.5%
  • CAND_IND1214.0%
  • PRI10.5%
  • PVEM2.2%
  • PANAL0.9%
  • ES0.6%
Results for event-8a64dbb5afe9e0bfedaa938b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENAmexico/Sbe5b4a0829/201826,90844.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sbe5b4a0829/201813,55322.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND12mexico/Sbe5b4a0829/20188,42614%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sbe5b4a0829/20186,28710.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sbe5b4a0829/20181,2982.2%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sbe5b4a0829/20185280.9%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/Sbe5b4a0829/20183810.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

76.520–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.7016498229247645, oldest_gap=23.274254544187098, previous_gap=4.489916090092741

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0.4163427485531658,0.8413233134663557,1.622181912412542,0,5.507471711151421,1.6463677982206097,45.83398116956033,44.13233134663557],[0,0,4.441546970621017,1.2849361737923493,0.5005152362726336,1.1860949296544763,40.90345103152405,51.68345565813548],[0,10.956588417768948,0,0,2.262072811557833,0,0,86.78133877067322]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.82percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0.4163427485531658,0.8413233134663557,1.622181912412542,0,5.507471711151421,1.6463677982206097,45.83398116956033,44.13233134663557],[0,0,4.441546970621017,1.2849361737923493,0.5005152362726336,1.1860949296544763,40.90345103152405,51.68345565813548],[0,10.956588417768948,0,0,2.262072811557833,0,0,86.78133877067322]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.74percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0.4163427485531658,0.8413233134663557,1.622181912412542,0,5.507471711151421,1.6463677982206097,45.83398116956033,44.13233134663557],[0,0,4.441546970621017,1.2849361737923493,0.5005152362726336,1.1860949296544763,40.90345103152405,51.68345565813548],[0,10.956588417768948,0,0,2.262072811557833,0,0,86.78133877067322]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CUNDUACAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-27-6. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sb9d277ce2c, mexico--S6b447e17d6, mexico--Sbe5b4a0829.