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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

VILLA PESQUEIRA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · VILLA PESQUEIRA / SONORA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-26-45

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILLA PESQUEIRA / SONORA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-15bb5bf5ce52c32b72911489
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • C_MORENA_PT_PVEM_NAS_PES56.0%
  • MC40.8%
  • PRD2.2%
  • PRI0.2%
  • PAN0.0%
Results for event-308456a248579822eed30fbc
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
C_MORENA_PT_PVEM_NAS_PESmexico/S006d31611b/202496756%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S006d31611b/202470540.8%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S006d31611b/2024382.2%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S006d31611b/202430.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S006d31611b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA57.1%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD42.1%
  • FXM0.1%
  • PES0.0%
Results for event-ed86bd85120bfcd04ad0ffc4
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sd6425842f8/202199357.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sd6425842f8/202173242.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sd6425842f8/202120.1%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sd6425842f8/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL33.8%
  • MAS32.1%
  • CAND_IND929.9%
  • PT_MORENA_ES0.9%
  • PAN_PRD0.2%
Results for event-b883c4195a605bab56c7f9c5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/Sf814248fc1/201855033.8%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/Sf814248fc1/201852332.1%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND9mexico/Sf814248fc1/201848729.9%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sf814248fc1/2018150.9%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRDmexico/Sf814248fc1/201840.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

30.590–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.294804436660826, oldest_gap=1.709943001899937, previous_gap=15.112912565141869

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.5percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0.17513134851138354,2.2183304144775247,0,0,41.155866900175134,0,56.45067133683596],[0,0,0,0,0,0,57.498552403011004,42.501447596988996],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0.17513134851138354,2.2183304144775247,0,0,41.155866900175134,0,56.45067133683596],[0,0,0,0,0,0,57.498552403011004,42.501447596988996],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0.17513134851138354,2.2183304144775247,0,0,41.155866900175134,0,56.45067133683596],[0,0,0,0,0,0,57.498552403011004,42.501447596988996],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLA PESQUEIRA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-26-45. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S006d31611b, mexico--Sd6425842f8, mexico--Sf814248fc1.