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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SOYOPA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SOYOPA / SONORA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-26-39

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SOYOPA / SONORA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-d5310a390fdd188c9c4d055c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC54.8%
  • PS26.0%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD13.6%
  • C_MORENA_PT_PVEM_NAS_PES2.4%
Results for event-85fd0de1d940e1cce2cfa4da
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S204f91e641/202483854.8%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S204f91e641/202439726%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S204f91e641/202420813.6%UnknownRecorded
C_MORENA_PT_PVEM_NAS_PESmexico/S204f91e641/2024362.4%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN52.0%
  • NAS37.8%
  • MC4.1%
  • MORENA3.0%
  • PRI0.5%
Results for event-f69a083c0b36e331a5e03b68
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/Sbee41fc501/202187852%UnknownRecorded
NASmexico/Sbee41fc501/202163837.8%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sbee41fc501/2021694.1%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sbee41fc501/2021513%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sbee41fc501/202190.5%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES47.4%
  • PAN_PRD41.3%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL10.2%
Results for event-0a9de4a0c29b4aaa2a2e0c3e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S9a3c19c2ac/201880647.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRDmexico/S9a3c19c2ac/201870341.3%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/S9a3c19c2ac/201817310.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=29.817444219066935, oldest_gap=6.123662306777646, previous_gap=14.589665653495437

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.02percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,56.65990534144692,0,43.34009465855308],[53.37386018237082,0.547112462006079,0,0,0,4.194528875379939,3.1003039513677813,38.78419452887538],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,56.65990534144692,0,43.34009465855308],[53.37386018237082,0.547112462006079,0,0,0,4.194528875379939,3.1003039513677813,38.78419452887538],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,56.65990534144692,0,43.34009465855308],[53.37386018237082,0.547112462006079,0,0,0,4.194528875379939,3.1003039513677813,38.78419452887538],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SOYOPA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-26-39. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S204f91e641, mexico--Sbee41fc501, mexico--S9a3c19c2ac.