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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

IMURIS — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · IMURIS / SONORA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-26-24

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
IMURIS / SONORA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-ede7ab789d80f0e22594820b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI26.7%
  • PVEM24.1%
  • MC23.3%
  • PS13.9%
  • PAN8.3%
  • PRD0.4%
Results for event-acc81c60500cbd1ea2d8f264
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S51b3fe253d/20241,47926.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S51b3fe253d/20241,33524.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S51b3fe253d/20241,29123.3%UnknownRecorded
PSmexico/S51b3fe253d/202476913.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S51b3fe253d/20244608.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S51b3fe253d/2024240.4%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI24.2%
  • PT22.0%
  • NAS19.1%
  • PVEM11.5%
  • PAN9.3%
  • MORENA6.6%
  • MC5.2%
Results for event-d2122667ac6fc235128acd27
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S0927cc61b3/20211,16924.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S0927cc61b3/20211,06322%UnknownRecorded
NASmexico/S0927cc61b3/202192619.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S0927cc61b3/202155511.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S0927cc61b3/20214519.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S0927cc61b3/20213186.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S0927cc61b3/20212505.2%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES29.3%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL28.5%
  • PAN_PRD19.6%
  • MC13.0%
  • MAS7.1%
Results for event-030a2d114422bfdaa0cac3a3
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Scbf4db8aa5/20181,46929.3%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/Scbf4db8aa5/20181,43028.5%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRDmexico/Scbf4db8aa5/201898219.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Scbf4db8aa5/201865313%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/Scbf4db8aa5/20183597.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

88.180–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.6875699888017905, oldest_gap=0.7970570202329874, previous_gap=2.240067624683011

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

35.35percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[8.585293019783501,27.603583426651735,0.4479283314669653,0,24.916013437849944,24.094811496827173,0,14.35237028742068],[9.530853761622993,24.70414201183432,0,22.46407438715131,11.72865595942519,5.283178360101437,6.720202874049028,19.568892645815723],[0,0,0,0,0,13.345595749029226,0,86.65440425097077]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

75.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[8.585293019783501,27.603583426651735,0.4479283314669653,0,24.916013437849944,24.094811496827173,0,14.35237028742068],[9.530853761622993,24.70414201183432,0,22.46407438715131,11.72865595942519,5.283178360101437,6.720202874049028,19.568892645815723],[0,0,0,0,0,13.345595749029226,0,86.65440425097077]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

55.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[8.585293019783501,27.603583426651735,0.4479283314669653,0,24.916013437849944,24.094811496827173,0,14.35237028742068],[9.530853761622993,24.70414201183432,0,22.46407438715131,11.72865595942519,5.283178360101437,6.720202874049028,19.568892645815723],[0,0,0,0,0,13.345595749029226,0,86.65440425097077]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “IMURIS — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-26-24. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S51b3fe253d, mexico--S0927cc61b3, mexico--Scbf4db8aa5.