Office briefing

AGUA PRIETA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · AGUA PRIETA / SONORA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-26-2

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: AGUA PRIETA / SONORA
Next election: 2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event: next-03dfee143adb46b7baafe6b8
Registry qualification: Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

C_MORENA_PT_PVEM_NAS_PES56.3%
PAN_PRI_PRD35.3%
MC3.7%
PS1.3%

Results for event-f7f15b8c776ffccfbab4af8e
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
C_MORENA_PT_PVEM_NAS_PES	mexico/S757b11d979/2024	17,770	56.3%	Unknown	Recorded
PAN_PRI_PRD	mexico/S757b11d979/2024	11,134	35.3%	Unknown	Recorded
MC	mexico/S757b11d979/2024	1,174	3.7%	Unknown	Recorded
PS	mexico/S757b11d979/2024	406	1.3%	Unknown	Recorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

MORENA34.8%
PES27.5%
PAN_PRI_PRD18.9%
RSP4.9%
CAND_IND53.3%
MC2.2%
CAND_IND62.1%
PVEM2.0%
PT1.1%
FXM0.9%

Results for event-171883917980e706e939b160
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MORENA	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	9,968	34.8%	Unknown	Recorded
PES	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	7,882	27.5%	Unknown	Recorded
PAN_PRI_PRD	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	5,418	18.9%	Unknown	Recorded
RSP	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	1,392	4.9%	Unknown	Recorded
CAND_IND5	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	950	3.3%	Unknown	Recorded
MC	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	632	2.2%	Unknown	Recorded
CAND_IND6	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	608	2.1%	Unknown	Recorded
PVEM	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	573	2%	Unknown	Recorded
PT	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	324	1.1%	Unknown	Recorded
FXM	mexico/S225ab43b1e/2021	249	0.9%	Unknown	Recorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

PT_MORENA_ES39.0%
PRI_PVEM_PANAL30.6%
PAN_PRD23.8%
CAND_IND11.5%
MC1.2%
MAS0.9%

Results for event-6c280a6d8d14dcd3dc8d4214
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
PT_MORENA_ES	mexico/Sa11561f871/2018	12,004	39%	Unknown	Recorded
PRI_PVEM_PANAL	mexico/Sa11561f871/2018	9,426	30.6%	Unknown	Recorded
PAN_PRD	mexico/Sa11561f871/2018	7,311	23.8%	Unknown	Recorded
CAND_IND1	mexico/Sa11561f871/2018	458	1.5%	Unknown	Recorded
MC	mexico/Sa11561f871/2018	381	1.2%	Unknown	Recorded
MAS	mexico/Sa11561f871/2018	276	0.9%	Unknown	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

19.20–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=21.768796745833882, oldest_gap=8.634780278670952, previous_gap=7.451064437776825

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.81percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,3.851200629838604,0,96.1487993701614],[0,0,0,1.1573081868838406,2.0467209601371623,2.2574653521931705,35.60508644092013,58.93341905986569],[0,0,0,0,0,1.2761254019292605,0,98.72387459807074]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.79percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,3.851200629838604,0,96.1487993701614],[0,0,0,1.1573081868838406,2.0467209601371623,2.2574653521931705,35.60508644092013,58.93341905986569],[0,0,0,0,0,1.2761254019292605,0,98.72387459807074]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

39.3percentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,3.851200629838604,0,96.1487993701614],[0,0,0,1.1573081868838406,2.0467209601371623,2.2574653521931705,35.60508644092013,58.93341905986569],[0,0,0,0,0,1.2761254019292605,0,98.72387459807074]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Mexico: https://sicee-api.ine.mx/api/v1/local/cards/getTarjOnceTablasamunicipiosLoc · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_26_2_2024.json · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_26_2_2021.json · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_26_2_2018.json · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AGUA PRIETA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-26-2. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S757b11d979, mexico--S225ab43b1e, mexico--Sa11561f871.