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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CEDRAL — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CEDRAL / SAN LUIS POTOSI · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-24-7

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CEDRAL / SAN LUIS POTOSI
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-b38e0d28da1719999061bceb
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM48.7%
  • MORENA23.4%
  • MC18.7%
  • NASLP4.0%
  • CP1.3%
  • PRI0.7%
Results for event-a8c92f52a9819445af27c1ab
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/S5a7fb4f275/20245,04048.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S5a7fb4f275/20242,42623.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S5a7fb4f275/20241,93618.7%UnknownRecorded
NASLPmexico/S5a7fb4f275/20244164%UnknownRecorded
CPmexico/S5a7fb4f275/20241391.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S5a7fb4f275/2024680.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PMC33.1%
  • PT_PVEM27.6%
  • PRI17.9%
  • MORENA9.3%
  • FXM5.3%
  • PCP3.0%
  • NASLP0.6%
  • PES0.5%
Results for event-701575c34b93a1482afa49c5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PMCmexico/Saffd404e2b/20212,85533.1%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEMmexico/Saffd404e2b/20212,38427.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Saffd404e2b/20211,54817.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Saffd404e2b/20218069.3%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Saffd404e2b/20214615.3%UnknownRecorded
PCPmexico/Saffd404e2b/20212613%UnknownRecorded
NASLPmexico/Saffd404e2b/2021490.6%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Saffd404e2b/2021450.5%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES56.4%
  • PRI_PVEM37.3%
  • PANAL3.0%
  • PAN_PRD_MC0.8%
Results for event-32fe8655d1a128bbc3bc65ac
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sa8591e7303/20185,33156.4%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/Sa8591e7303/20183,52537.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sa8591e7303/20182823%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sa8591e7303/2018790.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

3.580–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=26.07481296758105, oldest_gap=19.59422805685147, previous_gap=5.601141633963611

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

84.2percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0.6783042394014963,0,0,50.27431421446384,19.311720698254366,24.199501246882793,5.5361596009975065],[0,18.40884766321798,0,0,0,0,9.584968486145796,72.00618385063622],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0.6783042394014963,0,0,50.27431421446384,19.311720698254366,24.199501246882793,5.5361596009975065],[0,18.40884766321798,0,0,0,0,9.584968486145796,72.00618385063622],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0.6783042394014963,0,0,50.27431421446384,19.311720698254366,24.199501246882793,5.5361596009975065],[0,18.40884766321798,0,0,0,0,9.584968486145796,72.00618385063622],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CEDRAL — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-24-7. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S5a7fb4f275, mexico--Saffd404e2b, mexico--Sa8591e7303.