Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

EL NARANJO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · EL NARANJO / SAN LUIS POTOSI · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-24-57

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
EL NARANJO / SAN LUIS POTOSI
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-c98db5580168edf06a2eafcb
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND443.8%
  • PAN22.3%
  • MC15.3%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA5.4%
  • ML2.3%
  • PRD1.4%
  • PRI1.3%
  • NASLP0.3%
  • PES0.1%
Results for event-62d767651ccd8e94e4a75156
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND4mexico/Sf1de2c8247/20244,62443.8%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sf1de2c8247/20242,35022.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sf1de2c8247/20241,61215.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENAmexico/Sf1de2c8247/20245705.4%UnknownRecorded
MLmexico/Sf1de2c8247/20242472.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sf1de2c8247/20241451.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sf1de2c8247/20241331.3%UnknownRecorded
NASLPmexico/Sf1de2c8247/2024310.3%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sf1de2c8247/202470.1%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND146.7%
  • PRI_PCP20.2%
  • MORENA8.4%
  • PMC8.3%
  • PAN_PRD7.5%
  • NASLP3.4%
  • PT_PVEM2.3%
  • PES0.2%
Results for event-fd6f3331e273dde5981f7d90
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND1mexico/S905cbefb73/20214,53946.7%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PCPmexico/S905cbefb73/20211,96620.2%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S905cbefb73/20218148.4%UnknownRecorded
PMCmexico/S905cbefb73/20218088.3%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRDmexico/S905cbefb73/20217277.5%UnknownRecorded
NASLPmexico/S905cbefb73/20213263.4%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEMmexico/S905cbefb73/20212212.3%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S905cbefb73/2021210.2%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM_PANAL36.1%
  • PAN_PRD_MC25.7%
  • PRI14.6%
  • CAND_IND812.2%
  • PT_MORENA_ES8.0%
Results for event-e111830b51aea24a98d0ccd0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEM_PANALmexico/S7ebb248716/20183,61536.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S7ebb248716/20182,57325.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S7ebb248716/20181,46614.6%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND8mexico/S7ebb248716/20181,22712.2%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S7ebb248716/20188018%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.3974688753987, oldest_gap=10.762239206775462, previous_gap=27.30842708554447

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[24.179442329457764,1.3684535446033543,1.4919230373495216,0,0,16.586068525568475,0,56.37411256302089],[0,0,0,0,0,0,8.639354701761834,91.36064529823817],[0,15.141499690146665,0,0,0,0,0,84.85850030985334]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

15.14percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[24.179442329457764,1.3684535446033543,1.4919230373495216,0,0,16.586068525568475,0,56.37411256302089],[0,0,0,0,0,0,8.639354701761834,91.36064529823817],[0,15.141499690146665,0,0,0,0,0,84.85850030985334]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.38percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[24.179442329457764,1.3684535446033543,1.4919230373495216,0,0,16.586068525568475,0,56.37411256302089],[0,0,0,0,0,0,8.639354701761834,91.36064529823817],[0,15.141499690146665,0,0,0,0,0,84.85850030985334]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “EL NARANJO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-24-57. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sf1de2c8247, mexico--S905cbefb73, mexico--S7ebb248716.