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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

RAYON — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · RAYON / SAN LUIS POTOSI · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-24-23

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
RAYON / SAN LUIS POTOSI
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-79243ebe5a74103ecaa26dd2
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ML41.2%
  • MORENA30.5%
  • PVEM19.3%
  • PAN1.5%
  • MC1.0%
  • PT0.7%
  • NASLP0.5%
Results for event-58609600a8a19d6d29024d14
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MLmexico/Sb45bfecac2/20243,25141.2%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb45bfecac2/20242,40630.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sb45bfecac2/20241,52019.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb45bfecac2/20241151.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb45bfecac2/2024761%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sb45bfecac2/2024530.7%UnknownRecorded
NASLPmexico/Sb45bfecac2/2024370.5%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_PVEM42.1%
  • PRI28.6%
  • PES12.9%
  • MORENA4.9%
  • PAN3.3%
  • PCP2.0%
  • NASLP0.9%
  • PMC0.3%
  • RSP0.3%
Results for event-f46535009aede3b88e035021
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_PVEMmexico/S06b250a990/20213,15142.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S06b250a990/20212,14128.6%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S06b250a990/202196312.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S06b250a990/20213644.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S06b250a990/20212453.3%UnknownRecorded
PCPmexico/S06b250a990/20211522%UnknownRecorded
NASLPmexico/S06b250a990/2021710.9%UnknownRecorded
PMCmexico/S06b250a990/2021190.3%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S06b250a990/2021190.3%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CP33.3%
  • PT_MORENA_ES30.0%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL13.6%
  • PAN_PRD_MC12.8%
  • CAND_IND105.4%
Results for event-6397ade8fc1eafca2714d6a1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CPmexico/S260262ac3f/20182,40533.3%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S260262ac3f/20182,16230%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/S260262ac3f/201898213.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S260262ac3f/201892112.8%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND10mexico/S260262ac3f/20183905.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

42.980–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=11.330115312416197, oldest_gap=3.5422740524781346, previous_gap=14.17543859649123

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

49.26percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.5419683561276483,0,0,0.7106462858675248,20.38079914186109,1.0190399570930544,32.260659694288016,44.08688656476267],[3.43859649122807,30.049122807017543,0,0,0,0,5.108771929824561,61.40350877192982],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.5419683561276483,0,0,0.7106462858675248,20.38079914186109,1.0190399570930544,32.260659694288016,44.08688656476267],[3.43859649122807,30.049122807017543,0,0,0,0,5.108771929824561,61.40350877192982],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.5419683561276483,0,0,0.7106462858675248,20.38079914186109,1.0190399570930544,32.260659694288016,44.08688656476267],[3.43859649122807,30.049122807017543,0,0,0,0,5.108771929824561,61.40350877192982],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “RAYON — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-24-23. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sb45bfecac2, mexico--S06b250a990, mexico--S260262ac3f.