Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

LAGUNILLAS — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · LAGUNILLAS / SAN LUIS POTOSI · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-24-19

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LAGUNILLAS / SAN LUIS POTOSI
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-67aec26ef195b230e742782e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC43.1%
  • ML38.2%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA8.5%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD1.0%
Results for event-fa512080228cc0d80ad4d9d1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/Sdfdef2692f/20241,40643.1%UnknownRecorded
MLmexico/Sdfdef2692f/20241,24638.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENAmexico/Sdfdef2692f/20242778.5%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sdfdef2692f/2024341%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PMC27.5%
  • PES15.2%
  • FXM14.3%
  • MORENA11.8%
  • PT_PVEM10.2%
  • RSP8.6%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD_PCP5.6%
  • NASLP3.0%
Results for event-d2ed45544f281586591b9ad5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PMCmexico/Sbc5cc7bf24/202190327.5%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sbc5cc7bf24/202149915.2%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sbc5cc7bf24/202147014.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sbc5cc7bf24/202138911.8%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEMmexico/Sbc5cc7bf24/202133410.2%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sbc5cc7bf24/20212828.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRD_PCPmexico/Sbc5cc7bf24/20211845.6%UnknownRecorded
NASLPmexico/Sbc5cc7bf24/2021983%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES51.5%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL29.2%
  • PAN_PRD_MC13.8%
Results for event-b6c2455a0a3d020b6eadc00f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S65b5db8730/20181,69351.5%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/S65b5db8730/201895929.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S65b5db8730/201845513.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

52.80–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=5.3999325008437395, oldest_gap=23.624074670099773, previous_gap=12.788857233301679

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.45percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,47.45190685116436,0,52.54809314883564],[0,0,0,0,0,0,12.314023425134536,87.68597657486545],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,47.45190685116436,0,52.54809314883564],[0,0,0,0,0,0,12.314023425134536,87.68597657486545],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,47.45190685116436,0,52.54809314883564],[0,0,0,0,0,0,12.314023425134536,87.68597657486545],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LAGUNILLAS — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-24-19. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sdfdef2692f, mexico--Sbc5cc7bf24, mexico--S65b5db8730.