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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

JALPAN DE SERRA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · JALPAN DE SERRA / QUERETARO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-22-8

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
JALPAN DE SERRA / QUERETARO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-edd1bcbfaab72ba639f33f51
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND339.8%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD27.0%
  • MORENA14.3%
  • CAND_IND113.8%
  • PT0.7%
Results for event-bb0999f90333e9dd41739555
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND3mexico/S471c2cb12d/20245,45939.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S471c2cb12d/20243,70427%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S471c2cb12d/20241,96714.3%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND1mexico/S471c2cb12d/20241,88913.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S471c2cb12d/2024990.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • CAND_IND839.2%
  • PAN29.5%
  • PRI_PVEM18.5%
  • CAND_IND75.1%
  • MC1.2%
  • RSP0.6%
  • QI0.6%
  • FXM0.6%
Results for event-238b2e730f576c00d056fe53
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
CAND_IND8mexico/S60f1a092df/20214,98739.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S60f1a092df/20213,75529.5%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/S60f1a092df/20212,34818.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND7mexico/S60f1a092df/20216455.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S60f1a092df/20211551.2%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S60f1a092df/2021780.6%UnknownRecorded
QImexico/S60f1a092df/2021730.6%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S60f1a092df/2021730.6%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PVEM37.6%
  • PAN_PRD_MC32.0%
  • MORENA9.4%
  • CAND_IND219.0%
  • PT8.2%
  • CQ0.9%
  • PANAL0.4%
Results for event-b93a820fdacccf506cbf3b53
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PVEMmexico/Sbe362dbbd8/20184,86537.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sbe362dbbd8/20184,13832%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sbe362dbbd8/20181,2129.4%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND21mexico/Sbe362dbbd8/20181,1649%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sbe362dbbd8/20181,0598.2%UnknownRecorded
CQmexico/Sbe362dbbd8/20181170.9%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sbe362dbbd8/2018550.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

41.730–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.378563805458146, oldest_gap=5.7652656621728795, previous_gap=10.170051180452372

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.28percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.75468821466687,0,0,14.994663820704377,84.25064796462875],[30.99719333003137,0,0,0,0,1.2795113092289911,0,67.72329536073966],[0,0,0,8.398096748612213,0,0,9.611419508326724,81.99048374306106]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.28percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.75468821466687,0,0,14.994663820704377,84.25064796462875],[30.99719333003137,0,0,0,0,1.2795113092289911,0,67.72329536073966],[0,0,0,8.398096748612213,0,0,9.611419508326724,81.99048374306106]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.28percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0.75468821466687,0,0,14.994663820704377,84.25064796462875],[30.99719333003137,0,0,0,0,1.2795113092289911,0,67.72329536073966],[0,0,0,8.398096748612213,0,0,9.611419508326724,81.99048374306106]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “JALPAN DE SERRA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-22-8. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S471c2cb12d, mexico--S60f1a092df, mexico--Sbe362dbbd8.