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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PEÑAMILLER — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · PEÑAMILLER / QUERETARO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-22-12

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PEÑAMILLER / QUERETARO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-8058608d73526dca4e40a2a6
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN50.9%
  • PVEM41.9%
  • MORENA3.3%
  • PES0.8%
  • PRI0.6%
Results for event-cda54870ceec8de4da6bd41a
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/Sc123b79cfc/20215,63950.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sc123b79cfc/20214,63841.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sc123b79cfc/20213653.3%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sc123b79cfc/2021940.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sc123b79cfc/2021710.6%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PANAL35.7%
  • PRI35.4%
  • CAND_IND1213.2%
  • PAN_PRD_MC4.8%
  • CQ4.0%
  • MORENA_PT_ES1.9%
Results for event-2a187e6a4c65569b148550a0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANALmexico/Sdf9c7369c7/20183,76435.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sdf9c7369c7/20183,73335.4%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND12mexico/Sdf9c7369c7/20181,38813.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sdf9c7369c7/20185044.8%UnknownRecorded
CQmexico/Sdf9c7369c7/20184174%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_PT_ESmexico/Sdf9c7369c7/20182041.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.262515036550383, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=0.30969030969031053

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

98.47percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[52.17914314795966,0.6569815860090682,0,0,42.916628111409274,0,3.377440547793097,0.8698066068289072],[0,37.29270729270729,0,0,0,0,0,62.7072927072927],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[52.17914314795966,0.6569815860090682,0,0,42.916628111409274,0,3.377440547793097,0.8698066068289072],[0,37.29270729270729,0,0,0,0,0,62.7072927072927],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[52.17914314795966,0.6569815860090682,0,0,42.916628111409274,0,3.377440547793097,0.8698066068289072],[0,37.29270729270729,0,0,0,0,0,62.7072927072927],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • missing returns · open

    Required distribution missing: {"id": "MX-M-22-12", "year": 2024, "issue": "Required distribution missing", "distribution": "Por Candidaturas"}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PEÑAMILLER — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-22-12. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sc123b79cfc, mexico--Sdf9c7369c7.