Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

EL MARQUES — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · EL MARQUES / QUERETARO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-22-10

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
EL MARQUES / QUERETARO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-bb2ca6b3b6b4db4c0dbad6ba
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN55.5%
  • MORENA26.6%
  • PRI4.8%
  • MC3.0%
  • PVEM2.8%
  • PT1.8%
  • QS0.9%
  • PRD0.4%
Results for event-d579af09395717bba141e5ad
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S250fb81bae/202461,12655.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S250fb81bae/202429,23226.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S250fb81bae/20245,2574.8%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S250fb81bae/20243,2783%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S250fb81bae/20243,1302.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S250fb81bae/20241,9351.8%UnknownRecorded
QSmexico/S250fb81bae/20249880.9%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S250fb81bae/20243890.4%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN48.6%
  • PRI22.6%
  • MORENA16.3%
  • PT3.0%
  • PVEM2.0%
  • FXM1.2%
  • RSP1.2%
  • PRD0.9%
  • PES0.8%
  • MC0.7%
  • QI0.6%
Results for event-31d540281d25aa0d74af117e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/202135,48448.6%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S6c1bbd7b66/202116,52222.6%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/202111,87316.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/20212,1863%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/20211,4612%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/20219061.2%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/20218831.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/20216710.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/20216170.8%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S6c1bbd7b66/20214780.7%UnknownRecorded
QImexico/S6c1bbd7b66/20214120.6%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN30.8%
  • PRI_PVEM29.4%
  • MORENA_PT_ES16.7%
  • PRD10.9%
  • CAND_IND84.4%
  • PANAL1.8%
  • QI1.4%
  • MC0.8%
  • CQ0.5%
Results for event-8ae0a1ba3f2c94a1412c43f1
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S42354d5adc/201822,38230.8%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/S42354d5adc/201821,39429.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_PT_ESmexico/S42354d5adc/201812,15316.7%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S42354d5adc/20187,88810.9%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND8mexico/S42354d5adc/20183,1774.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S42354d5adc/20181,3371.8%UnknownRecorded
QImexico/S42354d5adc/20181,0071.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S42354d5adc/20185690.8%UnknownRecorded
CQmexico/S42354d5adc/20183340.5%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=30.27863483172735, oldest_gap=1.4065858971256127, previous_gap=26.5228763655183

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.91percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[58.03009446053069,4.990743817344662,0.3692979541462951,1.8369962500593344,2.9714719703802155,3.111976076327906,27.751459628803342,0.9379598424075568],[49.63283118626998,23.109954820751682,0.9385534248108206,3.0576420069097674,2.043556711845915,0.668596925573133,16.607220287300855,3.9416446365378426],[31.864580515653252,0,11.229908458023091,0,0,0.8100681937899518,0,56.0954428325337]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

62.59percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[58.03009446053069,4.990743817344662,0.3692979541462951,1.8369962500593344,2.9714719703802155,3.111976076327906,27.751459628803342,0.9379598424075568],[49.63283118626998,23.109954820751682,0.9385534248108206,3.0576420069097674,2.043556711845915,0.668596925573133,16.607220287300855,3.9416446365378426],[31.864580515653252,0,11.229908458023091,0,0,0.8100681937899518,0,56.0954428325337]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[58.03009446053069,4.990743817344662,0.3692979541462951,1.8369962500593344,2.9714719703802155,3.111976076327906,27.751459628803342,0.9379598424075568],[49.63283118626998,23.109954820751682,0.9385534248108206,3.0576420069097674,2.043556711845915,0.668596925573133,16.607220287300855,3.9416446365378426],[31.864580515653252,0,11.229908458023091,0,0,0.8100681937899518,0,56.0954428325337]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “EL MARQUES — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-22-10. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S250fb81bae, mexico--S6c1bbd7b66, mexico--S42354d5adc.