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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

ASUNCION NOCHIXTLAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · ASUNCION NOCHIXTLAN / OAXACA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-20-7

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ASUNCION NOCHIXTLAN / OAXACA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-45be23c2fa0707699986b955
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA32.5%
  • PT24.3%
  • PAN12.0%
  • NAO11.4%
  • PVEM5.4%
  • PUP3.1%
  • PRD3.0%
  • MUJER2.5%
  • PRI1.1%
  • FXMO0.7%
  • C_PAN_PRI_10.2%
  • C_PVEM_FXMO_20.1%
Results for event-928fb48fc930c79c419573cd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S9d8e001a02/20243,45832.5%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S9d8e001a02/20242,58924.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S9d8e001a02/20241,27212%UnknownRecorded
NAOmexico/S9d8e001a02/20241,21011.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S9d8e001a02/20245785.4%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/S9d8e001a02/20243253.1%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S9d8e001a02/20243143%UnknownRecorded
MUJERmexico/S9d8e001a02/20242662.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S9d8e001a02/20241121.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMOmexico/S9d8e001a02/2024790.7%UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRI_1mexico/S9d8e001a02/2024260.2%UnknownRecorded
C_PVEM_FXMO_2mexico/S9d8e001a02/202490.1%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN17.7%
  • MORENA15.3%
  • PT12.1%
  • PUP10.7%
  • MC10.5%
  • PRI6.4%
  • PVEM6.3%
  • PRD5.7%
  • RSP5.1%
  • NAO3.8%
  • FXM3.5%
  • PES0.5%
Results for event-a03dc9bcf75ff27f26efe22d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/Sd5a8327114/20211,62317.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sd5a8327114/20211,40515.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sd5a8327114/20211,11012.1%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/Sd5a8327114/202198510.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sd5a8327114/202196210.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sd5a8327114/20215856.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sd5a8327114/20215816.3%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sd5a8327114/20215195.7%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sd5a8327114/20214645.1%UnknownRecorded
NAOmexico/Sd5a8327114/20213503.8%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sd5a8327114/20213173.5%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sd5a8327114/2021420.5%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES29.2%
  • PAN_PRD_MC27.5%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL15.2%
  • CAND_IND613.4%
  • PUP6.1%
  • PMR4.5%
  • PSD0.3%
Results for event-7ced41438c041c778f5dc68c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Se5521608ea/20182,72829.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Se5521608ea/20182,56827.5%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/Se5521608ea/20181,42115.2%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND6mexico/Se5521608ea/20181,24913.4%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/Se5521608ea/20185666.1%UnknownRecorded
PMRmexico/Se5521608ea/20184214.5%UnknownRecorded
PSDmexico/Se5521608ea/2018260.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

69.990–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=8.487985934752881, oldest_gap=1.7819356275754537, previous_gap=2.4376607402437678

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.94percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[12.424301621410432,1.0939636647782771,3.0670052744676695,25.28814221527642,5.645633912873608,0,33.7761281500293,18.70482516116429],[18.148272391814828,6.541429050654143,5.8034216705803425,12.411942301241194,6.49670133064967,10.757016661075701,15.71061165157106,24.13060494241306],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[12.424301621410432,1.0939636647782771,3.0670052744676695,25.28814221527642,5.645633912873608,0,33.7761281500293,18.70482516116429],[18.148272391814828,6.541429050654143,5.8034216705803425,12.411942301241194,6.49670133064967,10.757016661075701,15.71061165157106,24.13060494241306],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[12.424301621410432,1.0939636647782771,3.0670052744676695,25.28814221527642,5.645633912873608,0,33.7761281500293,18.70482516116429],[18.148272391814828,6.541429050654143,5.8034216705803425,12.411942301241194,6.49670133064967,10.757016661075701,15.71061165157106,24.13060494241306],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ASUNCION NOCHIXTLAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-20-7. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S9d8e001a02, mexico--Sd5a8327114, mexico--Se5521608ea.