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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

VILLA DE ETLA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · VILLA DE ETLA / OAXACA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-20-560

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
VILLA DE ETLA / OAXACA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-b3096ed5ed7bfa3fe7bfff94
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC26.6%
  • FXMO26.4%
  • MORENA19.5%
  • PRI9.7%
  • MUJER4.5%
  • PT3.6%
  • PVEM3.4%
  • NAO2.1%
  • PRD0.3%
  • PUP0.2%
Results for event-8f308d108c63e7786328f3c2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S782d4afb1d/20241,54426.6%UnknownRecorded
FXMOmexico/S782d4afb1d/20241,53326.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S782d4afb1d/20241,13119.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S782d4afb1d/20245659.7%UnknownRecorded
MUJERmexico/S782d4afb1d/20242614.5%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S782d4afb1d/20242073.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S782d4afb1d/20241973.4%UnknownRecorded
NAOmexico/S782d4afb1d/20241212.1%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S782d4afb1d/2024170.3%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/S782d4afb1d/2024140.2%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA31.3%
  • PRI27.9%
  • PVEM17.7%
  • NAO6.1%
  • FXM4.0%
  • MC3.9%
  • RSP2.8%
  • PT1.7%
  • PAN_PRD_41.0%
  • PUP0.9%
  • PES0.5%
Results for event-540b55fc4695d27e3656256b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Se288189305/20211,62631.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Se288189305/20211,44727.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Se288189305/202192017.7%UnknownRecorded
NAOmexico/Se288189305/20213176.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Se288189305/20212084%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Se288189305/20212003.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Se288189305/20211472.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Se288189305/2021861.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_4mexico/Se288189305/2021531%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/Se288189305/2021450.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Se288189305/2021240.5%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRD_MC35.2%
  • PUP22.8%
  • PT_MORENA_ES18.1%
  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL17.9%
  • PMR1.5%
  • PSD1.4%
Results for event-e49160e991cbba63281dd7cd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S836d085527/20181,93935.2%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/S836d085527/20181,25922.8%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S836d085527/201899618.1%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/S836d085527/201898917.9%UnknownRecorded
PMRmexico/S836d085527/2018831.5%UnknownRecorded
PSDmexico/S836d085527/2018791.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

87.760–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.1967799642218253, oldest_gap=12.7221702525725, previous_gap=3.528484131677512

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

44.85percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,10.107334525939176,0.3041144901610018,3.70304114490161,3.524150268336315,27.620751341681576,20.232558139534884,34.50805008944544],[0,28.52355608121427,0,1.6952493593534397,18.135225704711218,3.9424403705893947,32.05204021289178,15.651488271239899],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,10.107334525939176,0.3041144901610018,3.70304114490161,3.524150268336315,27.620751341681576,20.232558139534884,34.50805008944544],[0,28.52355608121427,0,1.6952493593534397,18.135225704711218,3.9424403705893947,32.05204021289178,15.651488271239899],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,10.107334525939176,0.3041144901610018,3.70304114490161,3.524150268336315,27.620751341681576,20.232558139534884,34.50805008944544],[0,28.52355608121427,0,1.6952493593534397,18.135225704711218,3.9424403705893947,32.05204021289178,15.651488271239899],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “VILLA DE ETLA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-20-560. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S782d4afb1d, mexico--Se288189305, mexico--S836d085527.