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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

LOMA BONITA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · LOMA BONITA / OAXACA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-20-44

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
LOMA BONITA / OAXACA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-0edf768d43335e06c04818cc
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA59.0%
  • PRD20.9%
  • PVEM8.3%
  • PT1.8%
  • PRI1.2%
  • PAN1.1%
  • MUJER0.9%
  • FXMO0.7%
  • MC0.7%
  • PUP0.4%
  • NAO0.4%
  • C_PAN_PRD_NAO0.3%
  • C_PVEM_FXMO_20.1%
  • C_PT_PUP_10.0%
Results for event-c7f2db15c8116ec6af0d8b40
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S9c185ab5d6/202410,30659%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S9c185ab5d6/20243,65420.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S9c185ab5d6/20241,4588.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S9c185ab5d6/20243121.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S9c185ab5d6/20242081.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S9c185ab5d6/20242001.1%UnknownRecorded
MUJERmexico/S9c185ab5d6/20241600.9%UnknownRecorded
FXMOmexico/S9c185ab5d6/20241270.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S9c185ab5d6/20241220.7%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/S9c185ab5d6/2024740.4%UnknownRecorded
NAOmexico/S9c185ab5d6/2024630.4%UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRD_NAOmexico/S9c185ab5d6/2024580.3%UnknownRecorded
C_PVEM_FXMO_2mexico/S9c185ab5d6/2024200.1%UnknownRecorded
C_PT_PUP_1mexico/S9c185ab5d6/202410%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD45.4%
  • PRI_NAO_329.1%
  • MORENA8.6%
  • PES6.0%
  • PAN4.3%
  • FXM1.2%
  • PT_PVEM1.2%
  • MC0.5%
  • PUP0.3%
Results for event-baf0099adec5a0b09da27a0f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRDmexico/Sd53d1f8794/20218,08645.4%UnknownRecorded
PRI_NAO_3mexico/Sd53d1f8794/20215,18829.1%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sd53d1f8794/20211,5378.6%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sd53d1f8794/20211,0626%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sd53d1f8794/20217624.3%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sd53d1f8794/20212211.2%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEMmexico/Sd53d1f8794/20212101.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sd53d1f8794/2021860.5%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/Sd53d1f8794/2021600.3%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI_PVEM_PANAL40.4%
  • PAN_PRD_MC36.7%
  • PT_MORENA_ES18.4%
  • PUP0.4%
Results for event-6c4c862e25afcfd5c1fe08c7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRI_PVEM_PANALmexico/S62a3d06943/20187,78540.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S62a3d06943/20187,06536.7%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S62a3d06943/20183,53618.4%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/S62a3d06943/2018720.4%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=39.6826343733222, oldest_gap=3.9007476432983026, previous_gap=16.837090402045085

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

64.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[1.1931038596909862,1.2408280140786256,21.798007516554318,1.8612420211179384,8.69772713714729,0.7277933544115015,61.480641889876516,3.0006562071228307],[4.427143853125727,0,46.97885196374622,0,0,0.49965140599581687,8.929816407157796,39.16453636997444],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[1.1931038596909862,1.2408280140786256,21.798007516554318,1.8612420211179384,8.69772713714729,0.7277933544115015,61.480641889876516,3.0006562071228307],[4.427143853125727,0,46.97885196374622,0,0,0.49965140599581687,8.929816407157796,39.16453636997444],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[1.1931038596909862,1.2408280140786256,21.798007516554318,1.8612420211179384,8.69772713714729,0.7277933544115015,61.480641889876516,3.0006562071228307],[4.427143853125727,0,46.97885196374622,0,0,0.49965140599581687,8.929816407157796,39.16453636997444],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “LOMA BONITA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-20-44. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S9c185ab5d6, mexico--Sd53d1f8794, mexico--S62a3d06943.