Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Center forDigital DemocracyElection database
Back to the Center

Office briefing

SANTA LUCIA DEL CAMINO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SANTA LUCIA DEL CAMINO / OAXACA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-20-392

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA LUCIA DEL CAMINO / OAXACA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-7d2172a7805d64a6b8fd4783
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • C_PVEM_MORENA_FXMO_140.5%
  • MC37.6%
  • PAN3.9%
  • PRI3.4%
  • PT3.2%
  • MUJER2.9%
  • PUP2.1%
  • NAO1.4%
  • PRD0.9%
Results for event-1214fa07df6068468925750f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
C_PVEM_MORENA_FXMO_1mexico/S63afc6e138/202410,85640.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S63afc6e138/202410,08037.6%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S63afc6e138/20241,0363.9%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S63afc6e138/20249143.4%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S63afc6e138/20248543.2%UnknownRecorded
MUJERmexico/S63afc6e138/20247742.9%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/S63afc6e138/20245712.1%UnknownRecorded
NAOmexico/S63afc6e138/20243631.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S63afc6e138/20242330.9%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA27.5%
  • PT_PVEM17.7%
  • MC16.8%
  • PRI_PRD_415.7%
  • FXM7.6%
  • PAN6.1%
  • NAO2.1%
  • PUP2.0%
  • PES1.4%
  • RSP0.4%
Results for event-f6bca52da68592a8f146646b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sa1151eee86/20216,39027.5%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEMmexico/Sa1151eee86/20214,11317.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sa1151eee86/20213,89516.8%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRD_4mexico/Sa1151eee86/20213,64815.7%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sa1151eee86/20211,7547.6%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sa1151eee86/20211,4066.1%UnknownRecorded
NAOmexico/Sa1151eee86/20214772.1%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/Sa1151eee86/20214752%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sa1151eee86/20213151.4%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sa1151eee86/2021980.4%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES48.3%
  • PRI_PVEM28.8%
  • PAN_PRD_MC12.8%
  • PSD2.4%
  • PMR2.3%
  • PANAL1.6%
  • PUP1.2%
Results for event-3171adc861b8eba69c1bac54
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S55c60073b8/201812,68448.3%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/S55c60073b8/20187,56228.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S55c60073b8/20183,36112.8%UnknownRecorded
PSDmexico/S55c60073b8/20186282.4%UnknownRecorded
PMRmexico/S55c60073b8/20185982.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S55c60073b8/20184121.6%UnknownRecorded
PUPmexico/S55c60073b8/20183111.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

65.780–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=3.021689186558156, oldest_gap=20.042260134606355, previous_gap=10.088166231004383

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

30.51percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[4.034110821229703,3.5590514388069,0.907285541840271,3.32541567695962,0,39.250807990343056,0,48.92332853082045],[6.229232200611404,0,0,0,0,17.256656771964025,28.310664126534046,48.203446900890526],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[4.034110821229703,3.5590514388069,0.907285541840271,3.32541567695962,0,39.250807990343056,0,48.92332853082045],[6.229232200611404,0,0,0,0,17.256656771964025,28.310664126534046,48.203446900890526],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[4.034110821229703,3.5590514388069,0.907285541840271,3.32541567695962,0,39.250807990343056,0,48.92332853082045],[6.229232200611404,0,0,0,0,17.256656771964025,28.310664126534046,48.203446900890526],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA LUCIA DEL CAMINO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-20-392. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S63afc6e138, mexico--Sa1151eee86, mexico--S55c60073b8.