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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

MEXICALI — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · MEXICALI / BAJA CALIFORNIA · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-2-2

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
MEXICALI / BAJA CALIFORNIA
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-41d335a0a1d0f1aeac9e3d50
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA47.2%
  • PAN24.8%
  • PVEM5.7%
  • MC5.0%
  • PRI3.5%
  • PT3.3%
  • FXM_BC2.3%
  • PES_BC1.8%
  • PRD1.1%
Results for event-d5787ae93de6b2ddac5ac0fb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sb8363ca85c/2024192,20547.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb8363ca85c/2024101,29524.8%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sb8363ca85c/202423,3535.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb8363ca85c/202420,2045%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sb8363ca85c/202414,1863.5%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sb8363ca85c/202413,6263.3%UnknownRecorded
FXM_BCmexico/Sb8363ca85c/20249,5582.3%UnknownRecorded
PES_BCmexico/Sb8363ca85c/20247,1431.8%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sb8363ca85c/20244,6131.1%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_PVEM_MORENA43.9%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD27.7%
  • PES11.1%
  • MC6.1%
  • CAND_IND23.9%
  • PBC2.4%
  • FXM1.0%
  • RSP1.0%
  • CAND_IND10.0%
  • CAND_IND30.0%
  • CAND_IND40.0%
  • CAND_IND50.0%
Results for event-6744e1cdc72ec3afe531ccf6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_PVEM_MORENAmexico/S7f7f9460da/2021138,44743.9%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S7f7f9460da/202187,22727.7%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S7f7f9460da/202134,87711.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S7f7f9460da/202119,1866.1%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND2mexico/S7f7f9460da/202112,2993.9%UnknownRecorded
PBCmexico/S7f7f9460da/20217,6782.4%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S7f7f9460da/20213,2441%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S7f7f9460da/20213,1531%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND1mexico/S7f7f9460da/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND3mexico/S7f7f9460da/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND4mexico/S7f7f9460da/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND5mexico/S7f7f9460da/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2019

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM_PT_TRANS_MORENA47.2%
  • PAN32.4%
  • PBC5.6%
  • MC5.0%
  • PRI3.9%
  • PRD3.2%
Results for event-63e55d772137c2036d0a1fd5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEM_PT_TRANS_MORENAmexico/S97d95dce09/2019122,84147.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S97d95dce09/201984,28732.4%UnknownRecorded
PBCmexico/S97d95dce09/201914,5865.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S97d95dce09/201913,0105%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S97d95dce09/201910,2193.9%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S97d95dce09/20198,3483.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=23.540653006476205, oldest_gap=15.22122775779637, previous_gap=16.732492461884743

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

90.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[26.229792611274966,3.673388005168534,1.1945114103935182,3.528379032738365,6.047133094931677,5.231716569605601,49.77044561775117,4.324633658136168],[0,0,0,0,0,6.2676610771909536,0,93.73233892280903],[33.27674492974484,4.034489973982494,3.295813905744776,0,0,5.136384632695201,0,54.25656655783269]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[26.229792611274966,3.673388005168534,1.1945114103935182,3.528379032738365,6.047133094931677,5.231716569605601,49.77044561775117,4.324633658136168],[0,0,0,0,0,6.2676610771909536,0,93.73233892280903],[33.27674492974484,4.034489973982494,3.295813905744776,0,0,5.136384632695201,0,54.25656655783269]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.53percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[26.229792611274966,3.673388005168534,1.1945114103935182,3.528379032738365,6.047133094931677,5.231716569605601,49.77044561775117,4.324633658136168],[0,0,0,0,0,6.2676610771909536,0,93.73233892280903],[33.27674492974484,4.034489973982494,3.295813905744776,0,0,5.136384632695201,0,54.25656655783269]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “MEXICALI — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-2-2. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sb8363ca85c, mexico--S7f7f9460da, mexico--S97d95dce09.