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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SALINAS VICTORIA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SALINAS VICTORIA / NUEVO LEON · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-19-46

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SALINAS VICTORIA / NUEVO LEON
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-b29a62e62c4e0a471c0025f1
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC72.4%
  • PVEM_MORENA14.1%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD5.4%
  • VIDA_NL2.1%
  • PT1.6%
  • LIBERAL0.3%
  • PAN0.0%
  • PRI0.0%
  • PRD0.0%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • MORENA0.0%
  • ESO0.0%
  • PESNL0.0%
  • JUSTICIALISTA0.0%
  • CAND_IND10.0%
Results for event-9a2a61ea14961f23a697f5de
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S5fa668390b/202416,59972.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_MORENAmexico/S5fa668390b/20243,22414.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S5fa668390b/20241,2455.4%UnknownRecorded
VIDA_NLmexico/S5fa668390b/20244922.1%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S5fa668390b/20243671.6%UnknownRecorded
LIBERALmexico/S5fa668390b/2024580.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
ESOmexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PESNLmexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
JUSTICIALISTAmexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND1mexico/S5fa668390b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC35.5%
  • PAN28.1%
  • C_PRI_PRD19.0%
  • C_PVEM_PT_MORENA_PANAL9.8%
  • FXM3.0%
  • CAND_IND152.0%
  • RSP0.5%
  • PRI0.0%
  • PRD0.0%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • PT0.0%
  • MORENA0.0%
  • PANAL0.0%
  • PES0.0%
  • CAND_IND70.0%
  • CAND_IND80.0%
  • CAND_IND90.0%
  • CAND_IND100.0%
  • CAND_IND110.0%
  • CAND_IND120.0%
  • CAND_IND130.0%
  • CAND_IND140.0%
  • CAND_IND160.0%
  • CAND_IND170.0%
  • CAND_IND180.0%
  • CAND_IND190.0%
  • CAND_IND200.0%
  • CAND_IND210.0%
  • CAND_IND220.0%
Results for event-19e8036d2a3e70448abbe0c5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20217,12535.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20215,64228.1%UnknownRecorded
C_PRI_PRDmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20213,81019%UnknownRecorded
C_PVEM_PT_MORENA_PANALmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20211,9679.8%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20216113%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND15mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20213982%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20211000.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND7mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND8mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND9mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND10mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND11mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND12mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND13mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND14mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND16mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND17mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND18mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND19mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND20mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND21mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND22mexico/Sa4744b33e5/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN47.8%
  • PRI_PVEM28.7%
  • PT_MORENA_ES9.9%
  • CAND_IND864.7%
  • MC2.9%
  • PRD2.4%
  • PANAL0.8%
Results for event-bd3d6e747f64e535da062b8b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S8cba9305c0/20189,98047.8%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PVEMmexico/S8cba9305c0/20185,98328.7%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S8cba9305c0/20182,0729.9%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND86mexico/S8cba9305c0/20189854.7%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S8cba9305c0/20186132.9%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S8cba9305c0/20184912.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S8cba9305c0/20181600.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=60.83693427336821, oldest_gap=19.705186353776377, previous_gap=7.545921742227648

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,1.6693199909028884,0,75.5014782806459,0,22.829201728451217],[28.70808527960108,0,0,0,0,36.25400702182873,0,35.037907698570194],[49.20134095839085,0,2.4206270952474855,0,0,3.022086373496352,0,45.355945572865316]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.23percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,1.6693199909028884,0,75.5014782806459,0,22.829201728451217],[28.70808527960108,0,0,0,0,36.25400702182873,0,35.037907698570194],[49.20134095839085,0,2.4206270952474855,0,0,3.022086373496352,0,45.355945572865316]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,1.6693199909028884,0,75.5014782806459,0,22.829201728451217],[28.70808527960108,0,0,0,0,36.25400702182873,0,35.037907698570194],[49.20134095839085,0,2.4206270952474855,0,0,3.022086373496352,0,45.355945572865316]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SALINAS VICTORIA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-19-46. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S5fa668390b, mexico--Sa4744b33e5, mexico--S8cba9305c0.