Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Center forDigital DemocracyElection database
Back to the Center

Office briefing

AMATLAN DE CAÑAS — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · AMATLAN DE CAÑAS / NAYARIT · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-18-3

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AMATLAN DE CAÑAS / NAYARIT
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-3df2ea4ca68b2ea1979effef
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC28.9%
  • RSPN27.9%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_FXMN25.8%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD14.4%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • PT0.0%
  • MORENA0.0%
  • NAN_MLN0.0%
  • MLN0.0%
  • FXMN0.0%
Results for event-7e2e0586f0cce4aae5959cd2
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20241,94128.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPNmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20241,87627.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA_FXMNmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20241,73325.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S9bb8b466ff/202496514.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
NAN_MLNmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MLNmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
FXMNmexico/S9bb8b466ff/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_PVEM_MORENA_NAN32.7%
  • FXM25.7%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD19.1%
  • MLN10.5%
  • MC3.8%
  • PES3.6%
  • RSP2.6%
  • PT0.0%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • MORENA0.0%
  • NAN0.0%
  • VIVA0.0%
Results for event-1f33170f0bbaea61cd844a7f
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_PVEM_MORENA_NANmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20212,15832.7%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20211,70025.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20211,25919.1%UnknownRecorded
MLNmexico/Sb73c5a03df/202169110.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20212493.8%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20212353.6%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20211702.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
NANmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
VIVAmexico/Sb73c5a03df/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2017

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • ES28.9%
  • PRI23.1%
  • PAN_PRD_PT_PRS23.0%
  • PANAL11.4%
  • MORENA7.4%
  • MC2.9%
  • PVEM0.0%
Results for event-a17449ecafe4716ff9463b68
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
ESmexico/Sf13cc4d4ee/20171,91328.9%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sf13cc4d4ee/20171,53123.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_PT_PRSmexico/Sf13cc4d4ee/20171,52123%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sf13cc4d4ee/201775611.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sf13cc4d4ee/20174937.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sf13cc4d4ee/20171912.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sf13cc4d4ee/20170 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

83.390–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.9976976208749058, oldest_gap=5.96409055425449, previous_gap=7.087588981739401

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.94percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,29.792785878741366,0,70.20721412125863],[0,0,0,0,0,3.8532961931290624,0,96.14670380687093],[0,23.9032006245121,0,0,0,2.9820452771272445,7.697111631537861,65.4176424668228]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,29.792785878741366,0,70.20721412125863],[0,0,0,0,0,3.8532961931290624,0,96.14670380687093],[0,23.9032006245121,0,0,0,2.9820452771272445,7.697111631537861,65.4176424668228]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

28.77percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,29.792785878741366,0,70.20721412125863],[0,0,0,0,0,3.8532961931290624,0,96.14670380687093],[0,23.9032006245121,0,0,0,2.9820452771272445,7.697111631537861,65.4176424668228]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AMATLAN DE CAÑAS — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-18-3. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S9bb8b466ff, mexico--Sb73c5a03df, mexico--Sf13cc4d4ee.