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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

EMILIANO ZAPATA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · EMILIANO ZAPATA / MORELOS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-17-8

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
EMILIANO ZAPATA / MORELOS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-ddafc72d97dfcce8b22be614
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM29.9%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPM27.0%
  • MORENA_PNAM_PES_MAS23.3%
  • PT9.4%
  • MC5.4%
  • PROGRESA2.6%
Results for event-abe3ea5eaef27482b19872bb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/S37534014c7/202412,99029.9%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPMmexico/S37534014c7/202411,73927%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_PNAM_PES_MASmexico/S37534014c7/202410,13323.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S37534014c7/20244,0689.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S37534014c7/20242,3505.4%UnknownRecorded
PROGRESAmexico/S37534014c7/20241,1282.6%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PHM21.3%
  • RSP14.4%
  • MAS14.3%
  • MORENA14.0%
  • PVEM12.3%
  • PT4.8%
  • PANALM4.0%
  • PRI_PRD3.0%
  • PODEMOS3.0%
  • MC1.3%
  • APM0.9%
  • RPM0.9%
  • PSD0.8%
  • FM0.7%
  • PES0.5%
  • FXM0.3%
  • FUTURO0.2%
  • MP0.2%
  • PESM0.2%
  • BC0.1%
  • PAS0.1%
Results for event-260233a876e4ce20e5bac492
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PHMmexico/S60396a2745/20217,45521.3%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S60396a2745/20215,03514.4%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/S60396a2745/20214,97814.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S60396a2745/20214,88414%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S60396a2745/20214,29012.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S60396a2745/20211,6764.8%UnknownRecorded
PANALMmexico/S60396a2745/20211,3994%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRDmexico/S60396a2745/20211,0653%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/S60396a2745/20211,0343%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S60396a2745/20214611.3%UnknownRecorded
APMmexico/S60396a2745/20213260.9%UnknownRecorded
RPMmexico/S60396a2745/20213190.9%UnknownRecorded
PSDmexico/S60396a2745/20212740.8%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/S60396a2745/20212270.7%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S60396a2745/20211730.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S60396a2745/20211120.3%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/S60396a2745/2021820.2%UnknownRecorded
MPmexico/S60396a2745/2021790.2%UnknownRecorded
PESMmexico/S60396a2745/2021600.2%UnknownRecorded
BCmexico/S60396a2745/2021450.1%UnknownRecorded
PASmexico/S60396a2745/2021190.1%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM46.1%
  • CAND_IND1118.0%
  • PT_MORENA_ES13.7%
  • PRD_PSD11.4%
  • PAN_MC4.0%
  • PRI2.4%
  • HUMANISTA0.7%
  • PANAL0.6%
Results for event-54e7b0c90964a98f9028fc95
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/S48010d2ec7/201818,93346.1%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND11mexico/S48010d2ec7/20187,38718%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S48010d2ec7/20185,63113.7%UnknownRecorded
PRD_PSDmexico/S48010d2ec7/20184,66511.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_MCmexico/S48010d2ec7/20181,6414%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S48010d2ec7/20189732.4%UnknownRecorded
HUMANISTAmexico/S48010d2ec7/20182920.7%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S48010d2ec7/20182400.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

65.950–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.9499151103565353, oldest_gap=29.037774759820937, previous_gap=7.119112758509107

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

26.86percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,9.592529711375212,30.631013016412,5.541407281644973,0,54.23504999056782],[0,0,0,4.930426852587297,12.620245344629776,1.3561615626746684,14.367663930809284,66.72550230929899],[0,2.4470600070418995,0,0,47.61581409385846,0,0,49.93712589909964]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

37.44percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,9.592529711375212,30.631013016412,5.541407281644973,0,54.23504999056782],[0,0,0,4.930426852587297,12.620245344629776,1.3561615626746684,14.367663930809284,66.72550230929899],[0,2.4470600070418995,0,0,47.61581409385846,0,0,49.93712589909964]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.15percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,9.592529711375212,30.631013016412,5.541407281644973,0,54.23504999056782],[0,0,0,4.930426852587297,12.620245344629776,1.3561615626746684,14.367663930809284,66.72550230929899],[0,2.4470600070418995,0,0,47.61581409385846,0,0,49.93712589909964]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “EMILIANO ZAPATA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-17-8. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S37534014c7, mexico--S60396a2745, mexico--S48010d2ec7.