Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Center forDigital DemocracyElection database
Back to the Center

Office briefing

CUERNAVACA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CUERNAVACA / MORELOS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-17-7

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUERNAVACA / MORELOS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-89b0b8a65e61b929cd479a37
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPM41.4%
  • MORENA_PNAM_PES_MAS36.7%
  • MC_PROGRESA11.5%
  • PVEM3.6%
  • PT2.7%
Results for event-84ad308dc141b3383f88f721
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPMmexico/S2a5a6c1e3b/202483,36241.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_PNAM_PES_MASmexico/S2a5a6c1e3b/202473,78936.7%UnknownRecorded
MC_PROGRESAmexico/S2a5a6c1e3b/202423,05311.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S2a5a6c1e3b/20247,2463.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S2a5a6c1e3b/20245,4452.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PSD31.2%
  • MORENA_PANALM_PESM23.9%
  • FXM8.4%
  • PRI7.1%
  • MAS6.2%
  • PT3.6%
  • PRD3.5%
  • RPM3.0%
  • MP1.5%
  • MC1.3%
  • PODEMOS1.2%
  • PVEM1.1%
  • BC0.9%
  • PHM0.7%
  • PAS0.6%
  • FM0.5%
  • RSP0.5%
  • PES0.5%
  • APM0.5%
  • FUTURO0.3%
Results for event-a8cc4ffd293d1b36222cb0b9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PSDmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/202148,61931.2%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_PANALM_PESMmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/202137,32023.9%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/202113,1248.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S4b1cfd34c5/202111,0367.1%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20219,6556.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20215,5923.6%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20215,4623.5%UnknownRecorded
RPMmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20214,7003%UnknownRecorded
MPmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20212,3511.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20212,0261.3%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20211,7991.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20211,6751.1%UnknownRecorded
BCmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20211,4230.9%UnknownRecorded
PHMmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20211,0300.7%UnknownRecorded
PASmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20219070.6%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20218400.5%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20218400.5%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20217940.5%UnknownRecorded
APMmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20217460.5%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/S4b1cfd34c5/20214970.3%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES30.6%
  • PAN_MC24.5%
  • CAND_IND813.5%
  • PRD_PVEM_PSD12.7%
  • CAND_IND105.2%
  • PRI4.4%
  • PANAL2.4%
  • CAND_IND92.2%
  • HUMANISTA1.1%
Results for event-cf70a052d8294380e98a7ee6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sc44688a40b/201862,21030.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_MCmexico/Sc44688a40b/201849,78424.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND8mexico/Sc44688a40b/201827,43113.5%UnknownRecorded
PRD_PVEM_PSDmexico/Sc44688a40b/201825,75112.7%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND10mexico/Sc44688a40b/201810,4845.2%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sc44688a40b/20188,8564.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sc44688a40b/20184,9142.4%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND9mexico/Sc44688a40b/20184,4392.2%UnknownRecorded
HUMANISTAmexico/Sc44688a40b/20182,1381.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

70.680–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.962803597812275, oldest_gap=6.339569505170733, previous_gap=7.510835172432131

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

13.21percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,2.8227792322247853,3.756447808393167,0,0,93.42077295938205],[0,7.336009997606956,3.6307798665213116,3.717195352176341,1.1134302959398017,1.346752107208381,0,82.85583238054721],[0,4.518205982439403,0,0,0,0,0,95.48179401756059]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,2.8227792322247853,3.756447808393167,0,0,93.42077295938205],[0,7.336009997606956,3.6307798665213116,3.717195352176341,1.1134302959398017,1.346752107208381,0,82.85583238054721],[0,4.518205982439403,0,0,0,0,0,95.48179401756059]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

12.92percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,2.8227792322247853,3.756447808393167,0,0,93.42077295938205],[0,7.336009997606956,3.6307798665213116,3.717195352176341,1.1134302959398017,1.346752107208381,0,82.85583238054721],[0,4.518205982439403,0,0,0,0,0,95.48179401756059]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CUERNAVACA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-17-7. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S2a5a6c1e3b, mexico--S4b1cfd34c5, mexico--Sc44688a40b.