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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CUAUTLA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CUAUTLA / MORELOS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-17-6

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CUAUTLA / MORELOS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-aa44eb81d281b8fe45fdd5c7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPM32.6%
  • MORENA25.5%
  • MC_PROGRESA12.7%
  • PT10.1%
  • PVEM5.9%
  • PNAM5.2%
  • MAS1.8%
  • PES1.3%
Results for event-2dabf8b501b719ea5ba00555
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPMmexico/S2c29030a35/202428,55232.6%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S2c29030a35/202422,30425.5%UnknownRecorded
MC_PROGRESAmexico/S2c29030a35/202411,06512.7%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S2c29030a35/20248,84810.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S2c29030a35/20245,1295.9%UnknownRecorded
PNAMmexico/S2c29030a35/20244,5455.2%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/S2c29030a35/20241,5621.8%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S2c29030a35/20241,1081.3%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA25.6%
  • MC14.8%
  • PAN_PHM11.1%
  • PSD9.4%
  • PES9.3%
  • PRI8.1%
  • MP3.8%
  • PT2.6%
  • FXM2.4%
  • RSP2.1%
  • PRD1.9%
  • PVEM1.0%
  • MAS0.9%
  • PANALM0.7%
  • FUTURO0.6%
  • APM0.5%
  • RPM0.5%
  • PODEMOS0.4%
  • PAS0.4%
  • BC0.4%
  • FM0.2%
  • PESM0.1%
Results for event-265411dd0b1177ba2a74326c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/202117,65725.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/202110,21314.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PHMmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20217,66511.1%UnknownRecorded
PSDmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20216,4879.4%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20216,3959.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20215,6158.1%UnknownRecorded
MPmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20212,6123.8%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20211,8232.6%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20211,6872.4%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20211,4392.1%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20211,3001.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20216931%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20216130.9%UnknownRecorded
PANALMmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20214680.7%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20213870.6%UnknownRecorded
APMmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20213590.5%UnknownRecorded
RPMmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20213160.5%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20212720.4%UnknownRecorded
PASmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20212660.4%UnknownRecorded
BCmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20212570.4%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/20211340.2%UnknownRecorded
PESMmexico/S8b9cb3c65f/2021650.1%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES31.6%
  • PAN_MC25.3%
  • CAND_IND712.9%
  • PRD_PSD12.4%
  • PRI6.7%
  • PVEM3.7%
  • PANAL1.9%
  • HUMANISTA1.9%
Results for event-7518dffbb8eaa4260d070781
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sd322c11a35/201828,52731.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_MCmexico/Sd322c11a35/201822,78225.3%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND7mexico/Sd322c11a35/201811,59912.9%UnknownRecorded
PRD_PSDmexico/Sd322c11a35/201811,20912.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sd322c11a35/20186,0266.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sd322c11a35/20183,3703.7%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sd322c11a35/20181,7351.9%UnknownRecorded
HUMANISTAmexico/Sd322c11a35/20181,6841.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

57.410–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=7.517476207091551, oldest_gap=6.60861362904339, previous_gap=11.15657269607182

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

25.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,10.645747356009288,6.1711164318458005,0,26.83575373286971,56.347382479275204],[0,8.415388996298129,1.9483536411732085,2.732191298352892,1.0386223641023336,15.306565951770754,26.463138647842573,44.095739100460115],[0,6.93185478304882,0,0,3.8765931992821976,0,0,89.19155201766898]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.93percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,10.645747356009288,6.1711164318458005,0,26.83575373286971,56.347382479275204],[0,8.415388996298129,1.9483536411732085,2.732191298352892,1.0386223641023336,15.306565951770754,26.463138647842573,44.095739100460115],[0,6.93185478304882,0,0,3.8765931992821976,0,0,89.19155201766898]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

36.8percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,10.645747356009288,6.1711164318458005,0,26.83575373286971,56.347382479275204],[0,8.415388996298129,1.9483536411732085,2.732191298352892,1.0386223641023336,15.306565951770754,26.463138647842573,44.095739100460115],[0,6.93185478304882,0,0,3.8765931992821976,0,0,89.19155201766898]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CUAUTLA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-17-6. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S2c29030a35, mexico--S8b9cb3c65f, mexico--Sd322c11a35.