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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

AXOCHIAPAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · AXOCHIAPAN / MORELOS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-17-3

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AXOCHIAPAN / MORELOS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-5e4e06ebabb7a607933f06f4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC50.6%
  • PT15.7%
  • MORENA10.4%
  • PROGRESA9.8%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPM9.5%
  • PVEM0.4%
  • PES0.2%
  • PNAM0.1%
  • MAS0.0%
Results for event-21eb1f9652c6e687421bc381
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S34eca9ed96/20248,90450.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S34eca9ed96/20242,76415.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S34eca9ed96/20241,83110.4%UnknownRecorded
PROGRESAmexico/S34eca9ed96/20241,7279.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPMmexico/S34eca9ed96/20241,6819.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S34eca9ed96/2024720.4%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S34eca9ed96/2024400.2%UnknownRecorded
PNAMmexico/S34eca9ed96/2024180.1%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/S34eca9ed96/202440%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA26.3%
  • MC20.9%
  • RPM13.1%
  • PSD12.2%
  • PVEM6.2%
  • RSP6.2%
  • PT5.7%
  • PRI_PRD2.2%
  • FUTURO1.7%
  • FXM0.8%
  • MP0.7%
  • BC0.5%
  • PANALM0.4%
  • PES0.2%
  • PODEMOS0.2%
  • PHM0.1%
  • PAN0.1%
  • FM0.1%
  • PESM0.1%
  • APM0.1%
  • PAS0.0%
  • MAS0.0%
Results for event-afeaafc5a24db5f84148c25c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20214,27026.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20213,38720.9%UnknownRecorded
RPMmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20212,13413.1%UnknownRecorded
PSDmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20211,97912.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20211,0096.2%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20211,0036.2%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20219245.7%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRDmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20213572.2%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20212811.7%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20211270.8%UnknownRecorded
MPmexico/Sa7ef51965b/20211110.7%UnknownRecorded
BCmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021800.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALMmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021580.4%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021340.2%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021260.2%UnknownRecorded
PHMmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021240.1%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021230.1%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021230.1%UnknownRecorded
PESMmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021170.1%UnknownRecorded
APMmexico/Sa7ef51965b/2021100.1%UnknownRecorded
PASmexico/Sa7ef51965b/202130%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/Sa7ef51965b/202120%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES15.0%
  • PRD_PSD13.7%
  • PAN13.1%
  • PRI12.9%
  • HUMANISTA12.8%
  • MC12.5%
  • CAND_IND411.5%
  • PANAL5.0%
  • PVEM0.9%
Results for event-1242aa8bb328b61a53284290
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20182,69915%UnknownRecorded
PRD_PSDmexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20182,46113.7%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20182,36713.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20182,32612.9%UnknownRecorded
HUMANISTAmexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20182,31212.8%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20182,24912.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND4mexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20182,06311.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20188935%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S2f6dbb88d4/20181560.9%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=36.030749369168475, oldest_gap=1.3579824261097801, previous_gap=5.559753179700287

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.33percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,16.219705416348805,0.4225104160553958,52.250454785517285,10.744674608297634,20.362654773780882],[0.14481803299332577,0,0,5.817907064601435,6.353104143055031,21.326029467321497,26.885782647021784,39.47235864500693],[13.505648750427936,13.271710601392217,0,0,0.890106128038343,12.832363345886112,0,59.50017117425539]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

46.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,16.219705416348805,0.4225104160553958,52.250454785517285,10.744674608297634,20.362654773780882],[0.14481803299332577,0,0,5.817907064601435,6.353104143055031,21.326029467321497,26.885782647021784,39.47235864500693],[13.505648750427936,13.271710601392217,0,0,0.890106128038343,12.832363345886112,0,59.50017117425539]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,16.219705416348805,0.4225104160553958,52.250454785517285,10.744674608297634,20.362654773780882],[0.14481803299332577,0,0,5.817907064601435,6.353104143055031,21.326029467321497,26.885782647021784,39.47235864500693],[13.505648750427936,13.271710601392217,0,0,0.890106128038343,12.832363345886112,0,59.50017117425539]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AXOCHIAPAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-17-3. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S34eca9ed96, mexico--Sa7ef51965b, mexico--S2f6dbb88d4.