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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

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Office briefing

TOTOLAPAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · TOTOLAPAN / MORELOS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-17-27

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TOTOLAPAN / MORELOS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-0b3d70d1babc1c81a95c41ac
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT48.1%
  • PVEM34.7%
  • MORENA_PNAM_PES_MAS6.4%
  • MC_PROGRESA4.6%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPM2.6%
Results for event-484e6a0a9a7d377ec1fb1eb0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PTmexico/S5ea6d5d5cd/20242,44548.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S5ea6d5d5cd/20241,76634.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENA_PNAM_PES_MASmexico/S5ea6d5d5cd/20243266.4%UnknownRecorded
MC_PROGRESAmexico/S5ea6d5d5cd/20242324.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPMmexico/S5ea6d5d5cd/20241312.6%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PANALM33.0%
  • MC22.3%
  • RPM21.3%
  • MORENA6.2%
  • FM4.7%
  • MP3.6%
  • PRI_PRD3.0%
  • FUTURO2.0%
  • PAN0.3%
  • MAS0.2%
  • FXM0.2%
  • PES0.2%
  • PVEM0.1%
  • PT0.1%
  • RSP0.1%
  • PHM0.1%
  • APM0.1%
  • PESM0.0%
  • PSD0.0%
  • PODEMOS0.0%
  • BC0.0%
  • PAS0.0%
Results for event-f9828a3c2cd624278a009d83
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANALMmexico/Sc497a33692/20211,94433%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sc497a33692/20211,31122.3%UnknownRecorded
RPMmexico/Sc497a33692/20211,25621.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sc497a33692/20213656.2%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/Sc497a33692/20212774.7%UnknownRecorded
MPmexico/Sc497a33692/20212153.6%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRDmexico/Sc497a33692/20211753%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/Sc497a33692/20211172%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sc497a33692/2021170.3%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/Sc497a33692/2021130.2%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Sc497a33692/2021130.2%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sc497a33692/2021110.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sc497a33692/202180.1%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sc497a33692/202180.1%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Sc497a33692/202150.1%UnknownRecorded
PHMmexico/Sc497a33692/202140.1%UnknownRecorded
APMmexico/Sc497a33692/202140.1%UnknownRecorded
PESMmexico/Sc497a33692/202110%UnknownRecorded
PSDmexico/Sc497a33692/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/Sc497a33692/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
BCmexico/Sc497a33692/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PASmexico/Sc497a33692/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PANAL35.2%
  • CAND_IND2415.6%
  • PVEM11.9%
  • HUMANISTA8.7%
  • PT_MORENA_ES8.5%
  • PRD_PSD8.4%
  • PRI6.6%
  • PAN_MC2.6%
Results for event-515af464ac676bfe29a3a90e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANALmexico/Sc1d25149c6/20182,17035.2%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND24mexico/Sc1d25149c6/201896215.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sc1d25149c6/201873511.9%UnknownRecorded
HUMANISTAmexico/Sc1d25149c6/20185388.7%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sc1d25149c6/20185228.5%UnknownRecorded
PRD_PSDmexico/Sc1d25149c6/20185178.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sc1d25149c6/20184056.6%UnknownRecorded
PAN_MCmexico/Sc1d25149c6/20181592.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

31.850–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=13.857142857142861, oldest_gap=20.10652463382157, previous_gap=11.020194986072426

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

85.66percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,49.89795918367347,36.04081632653061,0,0,14.061224489795919],[0.29596100278551535,0,0,0.1392757660167131,0.1392757660167131,22.823816155988858,6.354456824512535,70.24721448467966],[0,6.741011984021305,0,0,12.233688415446071,0,0,81.02529960053262]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

29.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,49.89795918367347,36.04081632653061,0,0,14.061224489795919],[0.29596100278551535,0,0,0.1392757660167131,0.1392757660167131,22.823816155988858,6.354456824512535,70.24721448467966],[0,6.741011984021305,0,0,12.233688415446071,0,0,81.02529960053262]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

57.64percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,49.89795918367347,36.04081632653061,0,0,14.061224489795919],[0.29596100278551535,0,0,0.1392757660167131,0.1392757660167131,22.823816155988858,6.354456824512535,70.24721448467966],[0,6.741011984021305,0,0,12.233688415446071,0,0,81.02529960053262]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TOTOLAPAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-17-27. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S5ea6d5d5cd, mexico--Sc497a33692, mexico--Sc1d25149c6.