Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TEPALCINGO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · TEPALCINGO / MORELOS · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-17-19

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TEPALCINGO / MORELOS
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-bbc36eda1aff0c7a5e64ac64
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PROGRESA21.0%
  • MORENA19.6%
  • MC19.1%
  • PNAM14.6%
  • PT12.8%
  • PVEM4.8%
  • MAS2.1%
  • PES2.0%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPM2.0%
Results for event-80c44e998c3e9a350c8064af
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PROGRESAmexico/S0e5088eea7/20242,94021%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S0e5088eea7/20242,74819.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S0e5088eea7/20242,66619.1%UnknownRecorded
PNAMmexico/S0e5088eea7/20242,04114.6%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S0e5088eea7/20241,79012.8%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S0e5088eea7/20246734.8%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/S0e5088eea7/20242942.1%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S0e5088eea7/20242852%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRD_RSPMmexico/S0e5088eea7/20242842%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PESM19.0%
  • FXM15.9%
  • PT13.5%
  • MORENA10.0%
  • PHM7.1%
  • RPM6.3%
  • PVEM4.7%
  • MAS2.8%
  • APM1.9%
  • RSP1.9%
  • PRI1.8%
  • PRD1.3%
  • MC0.8%
  • PES0.5%
  • PANALM0.2%
  • PAN0.1%
  • PSD0.1%
  • FUTURO0.1%
  • FM0.1%
  • PAS0.1%
  • PODEMOS0.1%
  • BC0.1%
  • MP0.1%
Results for event-ddd46bbc79debe30daf8cd6d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PESMmexico/S76478ef308/20212,22519%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S76478ef308/20211,86415.9%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S76478ef308/20211,58013.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S76478ef308/20211,17610%UnknownRecorded
PHMmexico/S76478ef308/20218347.1%UnknownRecorded
RPMmexico/S76478ef308/20217416.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S76478ef308/20215544.7%UnknownRecorded
MASmexico/S76478ef308/20213252.8%UnknownRecorded
APMmexico/S76478ef308/20212201.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S76478ef308/20212191.9%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S76478ef308/20212091.8%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S76478ef308/20211521.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S76478ef308/2021900.8%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S76478ef308/2021630.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALMmexico/S76478ef308/2021270.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S76478ef308/2021170.1%UnknownRecorded
PSDmexico/S76478ef308/2021160.1%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/S76478ef308/2021150.1%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/S76478ef308/2021100.1%UnknownRecorded
PASmexico/S76478ef308/202190.1%UnknownRecorded
PODEMOSmexico/S76478ef308/202180.1%UnknownRecorded
BCmexico/S76478ef308/202180.1%UnknownRecorded
MPmexico/S76478ef308/202170.1%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM37.2%
  • HUMANISTA18.8%
  • PRD_PSD13.8%
  • PRI9.4%
  • PAN_MC7.0%
  • PT_MORENA_ES6.6%
  • PANAL4.0%
Results for event-d8eb8f4dc0e83c4cc006328b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/S9f4c86a6cb/20185,21737.2%UnknownRecorded
HUMANISTAmexico/S9f4c86a6cb/20182,64418.8%UnknownRecorded
PRD_PSDmexico/S9f4c86a6cb/20181,93913.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S9f4c86a6cb/20181,3249.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_MCmexico/S9f4c86a6cb/20189867%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S9f4c86a6cb/20189336.6%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S9f4c86a6cb/20185614%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

81.120–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.3993149187377014, oldest_gap=18.913554836812704, previous_gap=3.481531488089498

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

27.25percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,13.045696377815029,4.904890314117047,19.43007069455579,20.02769477443335,42.59164783907878],[0.16395023628122288,2.015623493104446,1.4659079949850515,15.237727842607773,5.342848876458675,0.8679718391358858,11.34149869804224,63.564471019384705],[0,9.732431637753601,0,0,38.349014995589535,0,0,51.918553366656866]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

40.72percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,13.045696377815029,4.904890314117047,19.43007069455579,20.02769477443335,42.59164783907878],[0.16395023628122288,2.015623493104446,1.4659079949850515,15.237727842607773,5.342848876458675,0.8679718391358858,11.34149869804224,63.564471019384705],[0,9.732431637753601,0,0,38.349014995589535,0,0,51.918553366656866]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

33.99percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,13.045696377815029,4.904890314117047,19.43007069455579,20.02769477443335,42.59164783907878],[0.16395023628122288,2.015623493104446,1.4659079949850515,15.237727842607773,5.342848876458675,0.8679718391358858,11.34149869804224,63.564471019384705],[0,9.732431637753601,0,0,38.349014995589535,0,0,51.918553366656866]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TEPALCINGO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-17-19. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S0e5088eea7, mexico--S76478ef308, mexico--S9f4c86a6cb.