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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

NOCUPETARO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · NOCUPETARO / MICHOACAN · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-16-58

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
NOCUPETARO / MICHOACAN
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-fae0d9bea973b70078d3ace8
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI48.4%
  • PVEM38.7%
  • C_PT_MORENA8.9%
  • PESM0.2%
  • TMX0.1%
  • MC0.1%
  • PAN0.0%
  • PRD0.0%
  • PT0.0%
  • MORENA0.0%
  • MM0.0%
  • MICH10.0%
  • CAND_IND10.0%
  • CAND_IND20.0%
  • CAND_IND30.0%
  • CAND_IND40.0%
  • CAND_IND50.0%
  • CAND_IND60.0%
  • PT_PVEM_MORENA0.0%
  • C_PAN_PRI_PRD0.0%
  • C_PAN_PRI0.0%
  • C_PAN_PRD0.0%
  • C_PRI_PRD0.0%
  • C_PRD_PESM0.0%
  • C_PT_PVEM0.0%
  • C_PT_PESM0.0%
  • C_PVEM_MORENA0.0%
Results for event-15a3c233c66cadcee7cc73c5
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/Sd73ac38db9/20242,44748.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20241,95438.7%UnknownRecorded
C_PT_MORENAmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20244508.9%UnknownRecorded
PESMmexico/Sd73ac38db9/2024110.2%UnknownRecorded
TMXmexico/Sd73ac38db9/202440.1%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sd73ac38db9/202430.1%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MMmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MICH1mexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND1mexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND2mexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND3mexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND4mexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND5mexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND6mexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEM_MORENAmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRImexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRDmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PRI_PRDmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PRD_PESMmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PT_PVEMmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PT_PESMmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PVEM_MORENAmexico/Sd73ac38db9/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI44.2%
  • PRD35.3%
  • PT_MORENA14.5%
  • FXM1.9%
  • RSP0.4%
  • PVEM0.3%
Results for event-fa327ae03cb0d74d078774c9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRImexico/Saf6a8d30d2/20212,30344.2%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Saf6a8d30d2/20211,83935.3%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENAmexico/Saf6a8d30d2/202175614.5%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/Saf6a8d30d2/20211001.9%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/Saf6a8d30d2/2021210.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Saf6a8d30d2/2021160.3%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI45.4%
  • PRD29.7%
  • PAN_MC12.2%
  • PT_MORENA9.3%
Results for event-7580202f0087253ba691d1d0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S645f915716/20182,42045.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S645f915716/20181,58229.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_MCmexico/S645f915716/201865012.2%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENAmexico/S645f915716/20184949.3%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

47.660–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.125282398849869, oldest_gap=16.284492809949473, previous_gap=9.215491559086395

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

90.13percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,50.25672622715137,0,0,40.1314438283015,0.061614294516327786,0,9.550215650030808],[0,0,36.524329692154915,0,0.31777557100297915,0,0,63.15789473684211],[0,47.02681694520015,30.74232413525068,0,0,0,0,22.230858919549163]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

47.03percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,50.25672622715137,0,0,40.1314438283015,0.061614294516327786,0,9.550215650030808],[0,0,36.524329692154915,0,0.31777557100297915,0,0,63.15789473684211],[0,47.02681694520015,30.74232413525068,0,0,0,0,22.230858919549163]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

68.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,50.25672622715137,0,0,40.1314438283015,0.061614294516327786,0,9.550215650030808],[0,0,36.524329692154915,0,0.31777557100297915,0,0,63.15789473684211],[0,47.02681694520015,30.74232413525068,0,0,0,0,22.230858919549163]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “NOCUPETARO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-16-58. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sd73ac38db9, mexico--Saf6a8d30d2, mexico--S645f915716.