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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHAVINDA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CHAVINDA / MICHOACAN · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-16-23

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHAVINDA / MICHOACAN
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-8fa93b5715900a4ec45ead5e
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC31.9%
  • C_PRI_PRD27.7%
  • MORENA26.8%
  • PAN7.4%
  • PVEM1.0%
  • PT0.7%
  • PESM0.4%
  • PRI0.0%
  • PRD0.0%
  • MM0.0%
  • MICH10.0%
  • TMX0.0%
  • CAND_IND10.0%
  • CAND_IND20.0%
  • CAND_IND30.0%
  • CAND_IND40.0%
  • CAND_IND50.0%
  • CAND_IND60.0%
  • PT_PVEM_MORENA0.0%
  • C_PAN_PRI_PRD0.0%
  • C_PAN_PRI0.0%
  • C_PAN_PRD0.0%
  • C_PRD_PESM0.0%
  • C_PT_PVEM0.0%
  • C_PT_MORENA0.0%
  • C_PT_PESM0.0%
  • C_PVEM_MORENA0.0%
Results for event-103d0dbe37dc2ddff3c2037d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20241,53831.9%UnknownRecorded
C_PRI_PRDmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20241,33527.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20241,29226.8%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20243577.4%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sfe67f930e1/2024471%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sfe67f930e1/2024350.7%UnknownRecorded
PESMmexico/Sfe67f930e1/2024170.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MMmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MICH1mexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
TMXmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND1mexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND2mexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND3mexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND4mexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND5mexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND6mexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEM_MORENAmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRImexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRDmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PRD_PESMmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PT_PVEMmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PT_MORENAmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PT_PESMmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PVEM_MORENAmexico/Sfe67f930e1/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA42.9%
  • PAN_PRI33.7%
  • PRD12.9%
  • PVEM8.0%
Results for event-41fcc8122bfd8d71d8fcb2f6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENAmexico/Sa40c0a9e51/20211,96442.9%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRImexico/Sa40c0a9e51/20211,54433.7%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sa40c0a9e51/202159112.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sa40c0a9e51/20213678%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRD_MC36.2%
  • PVEM33.1%
  • PT_MORENA18.7%
  • PRI7.2%
Results for event-47a490b727f1395c3349e888
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Saaaeb9ab18/20181,74036.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Saaaeb9ab18/20181,59033.1%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENAmexico/Saaaeb9ab18/201889818.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Saaaeb9ab18/20183447.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

71.070–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.3929885306210785, oldest_gap=3.2808398950131235, previous_gap=9.404388714733543

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

69.73percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[7.725600519368102,0,0,0.7574118156243237,1.0170958666955205,33.28283921229171,27.95931616533218,29.25773642068816],[0,0,13.233318405732199,0,8.217644424540977,0,0,78.54903716972683],[0,7.524059492563429,0,0,34.77690288713911,0,0,57.69903762029746]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

34.08percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[7.725600519368102,0,0,0.7574118156243237,1.0170958666955205,33.28283921229171,27.95931616533218,29.25773642068816],[0,0,13.233318405732199,0,8.217644424540977,0,0,78.54903716972683],[0,7.524059492563429,0,0,34.77690288713911,0,0,57.69903762029746]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.9percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[7.725600519368102,0,0,0.7574118156243237,1.0170958666955205,33.28283921229171,27.95931616533218,29.25773642068816],[0,0,13.233318405732199,0,8.217644424540977,0,0,78.54903716972683],[0,7.524059492563429,0,0,34.77690288713911,0,0,57.69903762029746]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CHAVINDA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-16-23. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sfe67f930e1, mexico--Sa40c0a9e51, mexico--Saaaeb9ab18.