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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CARACUARO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CARACUARO / MICHOACAN · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-16-13

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CARACUARO / MICHOACAN
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-a80e7a3cd3df861f055d8661
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • C_PRD_PESM75.1%
  • PT_PVEM_MORENA16.0%
  • C_PAN_PRI1.7%
  • PAN0.0%
  • PRI0.0%
  • PRD0.0%
  • PT0.0%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • MC0.0%
  • MORENA0.0%
  • PESM0.0%
  • MM0.0%
  • MICH10.0%
  • TMX0.0%
  • CAND_IND10.0%
  • CAND_IND20.0%
  • CAND_IND30.0%
  • CAND_IND40.0%
  • CAND_IND50.0%
  • CAND_IND60.0%
  • C_PAN_PRI_PRD0.0%
  • C_PAN_PRD0.0%
  • C_PRI_PRD0.0%
  • C_PT_PVEM0.0%
  • C_PT_MORENA0.0%
  • C_PT_PESM0.0%
  • C_PVEM_MORENA0.0%
Results for event-79e88c6f08f8e85273b7481d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
C_PRD_PESMmexico/S8606f0447b/20243,42275.1%UnknownRecorded
PT_PVEM_MORENAmexico/S8606f0447b/202472916%UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRImexico/S8606f0447b/2024781.7%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PESMmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MMmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
MICH1mexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
TMXmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND1mexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND2mexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND3mexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND4mexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND5mexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND6mexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PAN_PRDmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PRI_PRDmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PT_PVEMmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PT_MORENAmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PT_PESMmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
C_PVEM_MORENAmexico/S8606f0447b/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM42.1%
  • PT_MORENA28.4%
  • PRI_PRD21.9%
  • PES4.4%
  • PAN0.2%
Results for event-8672626ad6b85f54c81f6c5e
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/S82cbbcef2c/20212,28642.1%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENAmexico/S82cbbcef2c/20211,54028.4%UnknownRecorded
PRI_PRDmexico/S82cbbcef2c/20211,18621.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S82cbbcef2c/20212374.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S82cbbcef2c/2021110.2%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRD_PVEM50.4%
  • PRI24.8%
  • PAN_MC16.8%
  • PT_MORENA1.2%
Results for event-f73d0dee93fc59eb0c872213
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRD_PVEMmexico/S86aa89b708/20182,69150.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S86aa89b708/20181,32424.8%UnknownRecorded
PAN_MCmexico/S86aa89b708/201889716.8%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENAmexico/S86aa89b708/2018641.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

0 (recorded zero)0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=63.67935682194371, oldest_gap=27.471864951768485, previous_gap=14.182509505703422

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[null,[0.20912547528517111,0,0,0,43.460076045627375,0,0,56.33079847908745],[0,26.607717041800644,0,0,0,0,0,73.39228295819936]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43.67percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[null,[0.20912547528517111,0,0,0,43.460076045627375,0,0,56.33079847908745],[0,26.607717041800644,0,0,0,0,0,73.39228295819936]]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[null,[0.20912547528517111,0,0,0,43.460076045627375,0,0,56.33079847908745],[0,26.607717041800644,0,0,0,0,0,73.39228295819936]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CARACUARO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-16-13. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S8606f0447b, mexico--S82cbbcef2c, mexico--S86aa89b708.