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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

POLOTITLAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · POLOTITLAN / MEXICO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-15-72

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
POLOTITLAN / MEXICO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-d596fd539b3e35e5cb780951
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD_NAEM31.4%
  • MORENA25.6%
  • MC13.5%
  • PVEM13.4%
  • PT12.4%
Results for event-8542b053648ad4851dbf7ccb
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRD_NAEMmexico/S997f6607f2/20242,78431.4%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S997f6607f2/20242,27025.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S997f6607f2/20241,19913.5%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S997f6607f2/20241,19013.4%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S997f6607f2/20241,09912.4%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD43.8%
  • PVEM30.6%
  • MC10.0%
  • PT_MORENA_NAEM_CC9.3%
  • RSP1.6%
  • FXM0.4%
  • PES0.0%
Results for event-9bf38177dc8f018da1290341
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S671c65f406/20213,46243.8%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S671c65f406/20212,42530.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S671c65f406/202179310%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_NAEM_CCmexico/S671c65f406/20217329.3%UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S671c65f406/20211291.6%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S671c65f406/2021280.4%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S671c65f406/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM40.9%
  • PRI31.1%
  • PANAL13.9%
  • PT_MORENA_ES6.9%
  • PAN_PRD_MC4.0%
  • VR0.1%
Results for event-b6f7880bf1bc8863e3469cde
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEMmexico/Sf9be7b94a4/20183,50540.9%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sf9be7b94a4/20182,66831.1%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sf9be7b94a4/20181,18813.9%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sf9be7b94a4/20185936.9%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sf9be7b94a4/20183404%UnknownRecorded
VRmexico/Sf9be7b94a4/2018110.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

56.360–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=6.01732615312573, oldest_gap=10.078266104756167, previous_gap=13.70062095389087

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

43percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,12.86583938187778,13.931163661905877,14.036525403886678,26.574572699601966,32.591898852727695],[0,0,0,0,32.038578411943455,10.476945435328313,0,57.484476152728234],[0,32.12522576760988,0,0,42.203491872366044,0,0,25.671282360024083]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.29percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,12.86583938187778,13.931163661905877,14.036525403886678,26.574572699601966,32.591898852727695],[0,0,0,0,32.038578411943455,10.476945435328313,0,57.484476152728234],[0,32.12522576760988,0,0,42.203491872366044,0,0,25.671282360024083]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,12.86583938187778,13.931163661905877,14.036525403886678,26.574572699601966,32.591898852727695],[0,0,0,0,32.038578411943455,10.476945435328313,0,57.484476152728234],[0,32.12522576760988,0,0,42.203491872366044,0,0,25.671282360024083]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “POLOTITLAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-15-72. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S997f6607f2, mexico--S671c65f406, mexico--Sf9be7b94a4.