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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

PAPALOTLA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · PAPALOTLA / MEXICO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-15-70

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
PAPALOTLA / MEXICO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-8caa709f8eddb83aac85c3a4
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM_PT_MORENA49.5%
  • PRI34.0%
  • PRD6.3%
  • MC5.9%
  • PAN2.0%
  • NAEM0.0%
Results for event-0a249e54aa7192a7232e09e7
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEM_PT_MORENAmexico/Sb66a94df9f/20241,76549.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sb66a94df9f/20241,21034%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/Sb66a94df9f/20242246.3%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb66a94df9f/20242125.9%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb66a94df9f/2024722%UnknownRecorded
NAEMmexico/Sb66a94df9f/20240 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_NAEM52.2%
  • PRI29.6%
  • PVEM9.4%
  • PES5.1%
  • PAN2.1%
  • FXM0.4%
  • PRD0.2%
  • MC0.0%
  • RSP0.0%
Results for event-99e4ba31bffb79dc60be7d97
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_NAEMmexico/S6f87af8e05/20211,60652.2%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S6f87af8e05/202191029.6%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S6f87af8e05/20212899.4%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S6f87af8e05/20211565.1%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S6f87af8e05/2021642.1%UnknownRecorded
FXMmexico/S6f87af8e05/2021120.4%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S6f87af8e05/202160.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S6f87af8e05/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S6f87af8e05/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PT_MORENA_ES40.1%
  • PRI33.3%
  • VR13.3%
  • PVEM6.1%
  • PAN_PRD_MC5.8%
Results for event-0b02c0bccb2a76db4b0705fd
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sd08512473c/20181,26640.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sd08512473c/20181,05033.3%UnknownRecorded
VRmexico/Sd08512473c/201842013.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sd08512473c/20181926.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sd08512473c/20181835.8%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

14.420–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.934539190353142, oldest_gap=6.943105110896816, previous_gap=22.87216562602695

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

17.16percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[2.0671834625322996,34.74016652311226,6.431237438989377,0,0,6.086706861900661,0,50.6747057134654],[2.1031876437725927,29.904699309891555,0.19717384160368057,0,9.497206703910615,0,0,58.29773250082156],[0,33.751205400192866,0,0,6.171648987463838,0,0,60.0771456123433]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

5.63percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[2.0671834625322996,34.74016652311226,6.431237438989377,0,0,6.086706861900661,0,50.6747057134654],[2.1031876437725927,29.904699309891555,0.19717384160368057,0,9.497206703910615,0,0,58.29773250082156],[0,33.751205400192866,0,0,6.171648987463838,0,0,60.0771456123433]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

11.39percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[2.0671834625322996,34.74016652311226,6.431237438989377,0,0,6.086706861900661,0,50.6747057134654],[2.1031876437725927,29.904699309891555,0.19717384160368057,0,9.497206703910615,0,0,58.29773250082156],[0,33.751205400192866,0,0,6.171648987463838,0,0,60.0771456123433]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “PAPALOTLA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-15-70. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sb66a94df9f, mexico--S6f87af8e05, mexico--Sd08512473c.