Office briefing

ALMOLOYA DEL RIO — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · ALMOLOYA DEL RIO / MEXICO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-15-6

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: ALMOLOYA DEL RIO / MEXICO
Next election: 2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event: next-42f079c192067cc9ed349498
Registry qualification: Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

NAEM32.7%
PRI20.2%
PVEM_PT_MORENA18.6%
PRD14.3%
PAN6.6%
MC3.8%

Results for event-6eb7baa3b92ec217be28a728
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
NAEM	mexico/S680a0efb2e/2024	2,314	32.7%	Unknown	Recorded
PRI	mexico/S680a0efb2e/2024	1,429	20.2%	Unknown	Recorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA	mexico/S680a0efb2e/2024	1,319	18.6%	Unknown	Recorded
PRD	mexico/S680a0efb2e/2024	1,012	14.3%	Unknown	Recorded
PAN	mexico/S680a0efb2e/2024	470	6.6%	Unknown	Recorded
MC	mexico/S680a0efb2e/2024	266	3.8%	Unknown	Recorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

PVEM25.3%
PAN_PRI_PRD22.2%
PT_MORENA_NAEM_CC17.8%
FXM8.1%
MC4.9%
PES3.6%
RSP2.8%

Results for event-3dc299a37a5e20f4796cbd9b
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
PVEM	mexico/S6175b4700b/2021	1,539	25.3%	Unknown	Recorded
PAN_PRI_PRD	mexico/S6175b4700b/2021	1,351	22.2%	Unknown	Recorded
PT_MORENA_NAEM_CC	mexico/S6175b4700b/2021	1,082	17.8%	Unknown	Recorded
FXM	mexico/S6175b4700b/2021	492	8.1%	Unknown	Recorded
MC	mexico/S6175b4700b/2021	298	4.9%	Unknown	Recorded
PES	mexico/S6175b4700b/2021	222	3.6%	Unknown	Recorded
RSP	mexico/S6175b4700b/2021	168	2.8%	Unknown	Recorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

PAN_PRD_MC28.3%
PT_MORENA_ES26.1%
PVEM19.5%
PRI18.9%
PANAL3.1%
VR0.6%

Results for event-67820c1f6aab4c9e979bfb91
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
PAN_PRD_MC	mexico/S1273b82fb3/2018	1,880	28.3%	Unknown	Recorded
PT_MORENA_ES	mexico/S1273b82fb3/2018	1,731	26.1%	Unknown	Recorded
PVEM	mexico/S1273b82fb3/2018	1,296	19.5%	Unknown	Recorded
PRI	mexico/S1273b82fb3/2018	1,254	18.9%	Unknown	Recorded
PANAL	mexico/S1273b82fb3/2018	207	3.1%	Unknown	Recorded
VR	mexico/S1273b82fb3/2018	43	0.6%	Unknown	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

54.380–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=12.995594713656388, oldest_gap=2.3241304008735, previous_gap=3.649068322981364

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

42.75percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[6.901615271659325,20.983847283406753,14.86049926578561,0,0,3.906020558002937,0,53.348017621145374],[0,0,0,0,29.871894409937887,5.78416149068323,0,64.34394409937889],[0,19.560131024801123,0,0,20.215255030416472,0,0,60.2246139447824]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

19.56percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[6.901615271659325,20.983847283406753,14.86049926578561,0,0,3.906020558002937,0,53.348017621145374],[0,0,0,0,29.871894409937887,5.78416149068323,0,64.34394409937889],[0,19.560131024801123,0,0,20.215255030416472,0,0,60.2246139447824]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

31.15percentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[6.901615271659325,20.983847283406753,14.86049926578561,0,0,3.906020558002937,0,53.348017621145374],[0,0,0,0,29.871894409937887,5.78416149068323,0,64.34394409937889],[0,19.560131024801123,0,0,20.215255030416472,0,0,60.2246139447824]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Mexico: https://sicee-api.ine.mx/api/v1/local/cards/getTarjOnceTablasamunicipiosLoc · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_15_6_2024.json · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_15_6_2021.json · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_15_6_2018.json · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ALMOLOYA DEL RIO — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-15-6. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S680a0efb2e, mexico--S6175b4700b, mexico--S1273b82fb3.