Office briefing

TULTEPEC — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · TULTEPEC / MEXICO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-15-109

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography: TULTEPEC / MEXICO
Next election: 2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event: next-f8580d6558dd5528b873f3fc
Registry qualification: Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

MORENA45.1%
CC_PAN_PRI_PRD_NAEM29.8%
MC10.7%
PT6.7%
PVEM3.7%

Results for event-2eb65f991a2c74554467a666
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
MORENA	mexico/Sa81d7d2ae9/2024	38,155	45.1%	Unknown	Recorded
CC_PAN_PRI_PRD_NAEM	mexico/Sa81d7d2ae9/2024	25,257	29.8%	Unknown	Recorded
MC	mexico/Sa81d7d2ae9/2024	9,031	10.7%	Unknown	Recorded
PT	mexico/Sa81d7d2ae9/2024	5,677	6.7%	Unknown	Recorded
PVEM	mexico/Sa81d7d2ae9/2024	3,152	3.7%	Unknown	Recorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

PT_MORENA_NAEM48.6%
PAN_PRI_PRD36.5%
RSP5.9%
PVEM1.8%
MC1.8%
PES1.7%
FXM1.4%

Results for event-811a4d31c6ccbf106f05263c
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
PT_MORENA_NAEM	mexico/S1904364759/2021	30,081	48.6%	Unknown	Recorded
PAN_PRI_PRD	mexico/S1904364759/2021	22,568	36.5%	Unknown	Recorded
RSP	mexico/S1904364759/2021	3,671	5.9%	Unknown	Recorded
PVEM	mexico/S1904364759/2021	1,131	1.8%	Unknown	Recorded
MC	mexico/S1904364759/2021	1,127	1.8%	Unknown	Recorded
PES	mexico/S1904364759/2021	1,025	1.7%	Unknown	Recorded
FXM	mexico/S1904364759/2021	867	1.4%	Unknown	Recorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

PAN_PRD_MC39.2%
PT_MORENA_ES37.3%
PRI17.8%
PANAL1.3%
VR1.3%
PVEM1.1%

Results for event-f3ba2baef0b50c1e8b228b14
Label / candidate	Party code	Votes	Share	Seats	Status
PAN_PRD_MC	mexico/Sd8aa62cb8a/2018	30,758	39.2%	Unknown	Recorded
PT_MORENA_ES	mexico/Sd8aa62cb8a/2018	29,254	37.3%	Unknown	Recorded
PRI	mexico/Sd8aa62cb8a/2018	13,928	17.8%	Unknown	Recorded
PANAL	mexico/Sd8aa62cb8a/2018	1,050	1.3%	Unknown	Recorded
VR	mexico/Sd8aa62cb8a/2018	1,011	1.3%	Unknown	Recorded
PVEM	mexico/Sd8aa62cb8a/2018	826	1.1%	Unknown	Recorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

32.770–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=15.870164386258491, oldest_gap=1.9576450987283138, previous_gap=12.424342649247563

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

65.19percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,6.985185549758834,3.8783344817403287,11.112068116940645,46.94728811890934,31.07712373265085],[0,0,0,0,1.8703489333553829,1.8637340830163718,0,96.26591698362824],[0,18.12904317492548,0,0,1.0751428534239265,0,0,80.79581397165059]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

18.13percentage points

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,6.985185549758834,3.8783344817403287,11.112068116940645,46.94728811890934,31.07712373265085],[0,0,0,0,1.8703489333553829,1.8637340830163718,0,96.26591698362824],[0,18.12904317492548,0,0,1.0751428534239265,0,0,80.79581397165059]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

41.66percentage points

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,6.985185549758834,3.8783344817403287,11.112068116940645,46.94728811890934,31.07712373265085],[0,0,0,0,1.8703489333553829,1.8637340830163718,0,96.26591698362824],[0,18.12904317492548,0,0,1.0751428534239265,0,0,80.79581397165059]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Mexico: https://sicee-api.ine.mx/api/v1/local/cards/getTarjOnceTablasamunicipiosLoc · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_15_109_2024.json · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_15_109_2021.json · rights unknown
Mexico: mx_returns_AYUN_15_109_2018.json · rights unknown

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TULTEPEC — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-15-109. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sa81d7d2ae9, mexico--S1904364759, mexico--Sd8aa62cb8a.