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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN PEDRO TLAQUEPAQUE — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SAN PEDRO TLAQUEPAQUE / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-99

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN PEDRO TLAQUEPAQUE / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-e5cbb8ddf67fedab8147833b
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTURO44.0%
  • MC39.7%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD14.3%
Results for event-dff3fe4b599e2999bbace4d9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTUROmexico/S376f0d2d4e/2024121,34544%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S376f0d2d4e/2024109,42439.7%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S376f0d2d4e/202439,50614.3%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC43.5%
  • MORENA38.2%
  • PAN7.2%
  • PRI3.7%
  • HAGAMOS2.7%
  • FUTURO1.6%
  • PRD0.4%
  • PT0.4%
  • FM0.3%
  • SOMOS0.2%
  • PVEM0.0%
  • PES0.0%
  • RSP0.0%
Results for event-775108e9affca4ae9f8dccab
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/202146,01443.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/202140,47938.2%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20217,6417.2%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20213,9233.7%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20212,9032.7%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20211,6961.6%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20213970.4%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20213750.4%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20213140.3%UnknownRecorded
SOMOSmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20211970.2%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded
RSPmexico/S0ef0f8e0df/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRD_MC578.3%
  • PT_MORENA_ES484.7%
  • PRI331.8%
  • CAND_IND11120.1%
  • PVEM61.9%
  • CAND_IND451.5%
  • CAND_IND1642.3%
  • PANAL28.2%
Results for event-215fc3e8a6326b7c02da6b1c
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S7f9c7ebcf3/201884,327578.3%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S7f9c7ebcf3/201870,683484.7%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S7f9c7ebcf3/201848,381331.8%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND11mexico/S7f9c7ebcf3/201817,511120.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S7f9c7ebcf3/20189,01961.9%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND4mexico/S7f9c7ebcf3/20187,51751.5%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND16mexico/S7f9c7ebcf3/20186,17242.3%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S7f9c7ebcf3/20184,10728.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=4.410692812875773, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=5.325238842013107

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

54.6percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,40.48617149199889,0,59.513828508001104],[7.351427279461992,3.7743291738423497,0.38195480041178,0.36078853943178213,0,44.270196942437394,38.94495810042429,4.916345163990417],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,40.48617149199889,0,59.513828508001104],[7.351427279461992,3.7743291738423497,0.38195480041178,0.36078853943178213,0,44.270196942437394,38.94495810042429,4.916345163990417],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,40.48617149199889,0,59.513828508001104],[7.351427279461992,3.7743291738423497,0.38195480041178,0.36078853943178213,0,44.270196942437394,38.94495810042429,4.916345163990417],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-14-99", "year": 2018, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": 233615.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN PEDRO TLAQUEPAQUE — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-99. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S376f0d2d4e, mexico--S0ef0f8e0df, mexico--S7f9c7ebcf3.