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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

TECALITLAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · TECALITLAN / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-88

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
TECALITLAN / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-0b75ee0f6176be1edd95560d
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC45.7%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTURO44.2%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD7.0%
Results for event-799b423b1baa6ea42e622319
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S92671f231c/20243,95745.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTUROmexico/S92671f231c/20243,83444.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S92671f231c/20246097%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC56.1%
  • HAGAMOS19.2%
  • FM9.9%
  • MORENA9.1%
  • PAN2.0%
Results for event-a397dc15662ea72eb45a5239
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S594034f6de/20213,67256.1%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/S594034f6de/20211,26019.2%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/S594034f6de/20216519.9%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S594034f6de/20215939.1%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S594034f6de/20211342%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC37.3%
  • PRI28.0%
  • PT_MORENA_ES10.9%
  • PRD6.5%
  • PAN5.0%
Results for event-1a1f124433a6a0bee24eb078
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S7d12451d34/20183,46237.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S7d12451d34/20182,59528%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S7d12451d34/20181,00810.9%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S7d12451d34/20186036.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S7d12451d34/20184675%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=1.4642857142857082, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=38.22503961965135

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

22.61percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,47.107142857142854,0,52.892857142857146],[2.1236133122028527,0,0,0,0,58.193343898573694,9.397781299524564,30.28526148969889],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,47.107142857142854,0,52.892857142857146],[2.1236133122028527,0,0,0,0,58.193343898573694,9.397781299524564,30.28526148969889],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,47.107142857142854,0,52.892857142857146],[2.1236133122028527,0,0,0,0,58.193343898573694,9.397781299524564,30.28526148969889],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-14-88", "year": 2018, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": -817.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “TECALITLAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-88. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S92671f231c, mexico--S594034f6de, mexico--S7d12451d34.