Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SANTA MARIA DE LOS ANGELES — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SANTA MARIA DE LOS ANGELES / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-82

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SANTA MARIA DE LOS ANGELES / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-8e6c4289ff2d27b9947ae9c7
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD43.2%
  • MC42.7%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTURO10.2%
Results for event-2317a139671bb6b3177115a6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S9cc8a5036d/202492843.2%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S9cc8a5036d/202491642.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTUROmexico/S9cc8a5036d/202421810.2%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI37.1%
  • PAN30.6%
  • MC27.7%
  • MORENA3.1%
Results for event-728b5e88b4b2949d50aaeb26
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/Sb3f28a6c37/202186137.1%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb3f28a6c37/202171030.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb3f28a6c37/202164327.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb3f28a6c37/2021723.1%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRD_MC56.9%
  • PRI38.8%
  • PT_MORENA_ES1.6%
Results for event-48dbaa93e366f3acccdb01d0
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sb74264ab17/20181,28856.9%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sb74264ab17/201887838.8%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sb74264ab17/2018371.6%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

79.040–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=0.5819592628515977, oldest_gap=18.61098502042669, previous_gap=6.605424321959752

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

71.87percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,44.42289039767216,0,55.57710960232784],[31.058617672790902,37.664041994750654,0,0,0,28.127734033245844,3.1496062992125986,0],[0,39.85474353154789,0,0,0,0,0,60.14525646845211]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

62.34percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,44.42289039767216,0,55.57710960232784],[31.058617672790902,37.664041994750654,0,0,0,28.127734033245844,3.1496062992125986,0],[0,39.85474353154789,0,0,0,0,0,60.14525646845211]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

67.1percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,44.42289039767216,0,55.57710960232784],[31.058617672790902,37.664041994750654,0,0,0,28.127734033245844,3.1496062992125986,0],[0,39.85474353154789,0,0,0,0,0,60.14525646845211]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SANTA MARIA DE LOS ANGELES — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-82. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S9cc8a5036d, mexico--Sb3f28a6c37, mexico--Sb74264ab17.