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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

SAN CRISTOBAL DE LA BARRANCA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · SAN CRISTOBAL DE LA BARRANCA / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-73

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
SAN CRISTOBAL DE LA BARRANCA / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-a26a752f0472311b3c628a65
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRI_PRD57.9%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTURO23.6%
  • MC15.2%
Results for event-06564cb504564255cb7536ff
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S8cf14e5da1/20241,12057.9%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTUROmexico/S8cf14e5da1/202445623.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S8cf14e5da1/202429315.2%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN69.3%
  • PT28.9%
  • MC0.3%
  • PRI0.0%
Results for event-e2393ed3581ca0d5f74dc878
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/S86a7c60699/20211,38969.3%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S86a7c60699/202157928.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S86a7c60699/202170.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S86a7c60699/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN0.7%
  • CAND_IND70.5%
  • MC0.3%
  • PRI0.1%
  • PVEM0.1%
  • PT_MORENA_ES0.1%
Results for event-fc6aef349a458f357f5d961d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/Sd3bd049df5/20187050.7%UnknownRecorded
CAND_IND7mexico/Sd3bd049df5/20185870.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sd3bd049df5/20182730.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sd3bd049df5/20181530.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sd3bd049df5/20181040.1%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sd3bd049df5/2018880.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=35.527019796682715, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=41.0126582278481

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

99.65percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,15.676832530765115,0,84.32316746923487],[70.32911392405063,0,0,29.31645569620253,0,0.35443037974683544,0,0],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,15.676832530765115,0,84.32316746923487],[70.32911392405063,0,0,29.31645569620253,0,0.35443037974683544,0,0],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,15.676832530765115,0,84.32316746923487],[70.32911392405063,0,0,29.31645569620253,0,0.35443037974683544,0,0],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-14-73", "year": 2018, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": -102251.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “SAN CRISTOBAL DE LA BARRANCA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-73. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S8cf14e5da1, mexico--S86a7c60699, mexico--Sd3bd049df5.