Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

AMECA — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · AMECA / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-6

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
AMECA / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-20c6b018efc6427d44e2cf61
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTURO47.6%
  • MC38.4%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD11.3%
Results for event-a952d3a3d0565f90561c9c52
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTUROmexico/See0443f395/202414,20247.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/See0443f395/202411,47038.4%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/See0443f395/20243,36311.3%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC42.1%
  • PRI25.7%
  • MORENA12.3%
  • PAN6.8%
  • HAGAMOS3.7%
  • PVEM2.3%
  • FUTURO2.2%
  • FM1.5%
  • PRD0.7%
  • PES0.5%
Results for event-36f7f43ddbadbfed617b375d
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S30b58fae6c/202110,63342.1%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S30b58fae6c/20216,49525.7%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S30b58fae6c/20213,11812.3%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S30b58fae6c/20211,7276.8%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/S30b58fae6c/20219393.7%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S30b58fae6c/20215762.3%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/S30b58fae6c/20215602.2%UnknownRecorded
FMmexico/S30b58fae6c/20213851.5%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S30b58fae6c/20211890.7%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/S30b58fae6c/20211380.5%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC28.5%
  • PANAL21.4%
  • PRI21.1%
  • PVEM8.8%
  • MORENA7.5%
  • PAN4.6%
  • PRD2.1%
  • PT1.1%
  • PAN_PRD_MC0.7%
  • ES0.4%
  • PT_MORENA_ES0.2%
Results for event-ca62495894d4d1bf670ce958
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S5983ff43ca/20187,78228.5%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S5983ff43ca/20185,85321.4%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S5983ff43ca/20185,76921.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S5983ff43ca/20182,3948.8%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S5983ff43ca/20182,0447.5%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S5983ff43ca/20181,2634.6%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S5983ff43ca/20185642.1%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/S5983ff43ca/20183021.1%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S5983ff43ca/20181950.7%UnknownRecorded
ESmexico/S5983ff43ca/20181190.4%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S5983ff43ca/2018650.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

43.040–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=9.409333562941278, oldest_gap=7.320683111954462, previous_gap=16.712439418416803

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

52.33percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,39.50404684002066,0,60.49595315997934],[6.974959612277868,26.23182552504039,0.7633279483037156,0,2.3263327948303716,42.94426494345719,12.592891760904685,8.166397415185783],[4.793168880455408,21.893738140417458,2.140417457305503,1.146110056925996,9.0853889943074,29.533206831119546,7.757115749525616,23.650853889943072]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

24.77percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,39.50404684002066,0,60.49595315997934],[6.974959612277868,26.23182552504039,0.7633279483037156,0,2.3263327948303716,42.94426494345719,12.592891760904685,8.166397415185783],[4.793168880455408,21.893738140417458,2.140417457305503,1.146110056925996,9.0853889943074,29.533206831119546,7.757115749525616,23.650853889943072]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

38.55percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,39.50404684002066,0,60.49595315997934],[6.974959612277868,26.23182552504039,0.7633279483037156,0,2.3263327948303716,42.94426494345719,12.592891760904685,8.166397415185783],[4.793168880455408,21.893738140417458,2.140417457305503,1.146110056925996,9.0853889943074,29.533206831119546,7.757115749525616,23.650853889943072]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “AMECA — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-6. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--See0443f395, mexico--S30b58fae6c, mexico--S5983ff43ca.