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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

ENCARNACION DE DIAZ — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · ENCARNACION DE DIAZ / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-36

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
ENCARNACION DE DIAZ / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-49ffbd399828cc5f30ece823
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC30.2%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD27.5%
  • MORENA26.4%
  • FUTURO9.1%
  • PVEM3.3%
  • HAGAMOS0.4%
Results for event-d1a15fa40b1466fac8ab68db
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/Sefedda3f95/20247,14230.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sefedda3f95/20246,49227.5%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sefedda3f95/20246,23526.4%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/Sefedda3f95/20242,1579.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/Sefedda3f95/20247713.3%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/Sefedda3f95/20241060.4%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MORENA26.9%
  • MC24.4%
  • PAN18.5%
  • PRI12.8%
  • FUTURO8.9%
  • PES6.4%
  • HAGAMOS0.3%
Results for event-06edf14c4758acc130451bef
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MORENAmexico/Sc939aedf5f/20215,62526.9%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sc939aedf5f/20215,09324.4%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sc939aedf5f/20213,87018.5%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sc939aedf5f/20212,68112.8%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/Sc939aedf5f/20211,8598.9%UnknownRecorded
PESmexico/Sc939aedf5f/20211,3466.4%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/Sc939aedf5f/2021530.3%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN_PRD_MC60.3%
  • PRI28.2%
  • PT_MORENA_ES7.0%
  • PANAL1.2%
Results for event-aedea1c024510a3c0be3f72b
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/Sd941507b6e/201813,18260.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sd941507b6e/20186,17428.2%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sd941507b6e/20181,5317%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/Sd941507b6e/20182721.2%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Provisional imported-series CI

71.040–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Provisional imported-series comparison; actual-event review open

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=2.838056149849365, oldest_gap=33.120657876081104, previous_gap=2.5917084815121534

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

32.09percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.3663712177444003,31.18368772649871,27.223507837401215,38.226433218355666],[18.853217713255713,13.060846689725727,0,0,0,24.81122424124324,27.402932722755395,15.871778633019924],[0,29.17907273500638,0,0,0,0,0,70.82092726499363]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

71.07percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.3663712177444003,31.18368772649871,27.223507837401215,38.226433218355666],[18.853217713255713,13.060846689725727,0,0,0,24.81122424124324,27.402932722755395,15.871778633019924],[0,29.17907273500638,0,0,0,0,0,70.82092726499363]]

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

51.58percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,3.3663712177444003,31.18368772649871,27.223507837401215,38.226433218355666],[18.853217713255713,13.060846689725727,0,0,0,24.81122424124324,27.402932722755395,15.871778633019924],[0,29.17907273500638,0,0,0,0,0,70.82092726499363]]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

No open research issues attached to this office.

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “ENCARNACION DE DIAZ — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-36. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sefedda3f95, mexico--Sc939aedf5f, mexico--Sd941507b6e.