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Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHIQUILISTLAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CHIQUILISTLAN / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-33

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHIQUILISTLAN / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-a5e5199f7faf0ff3ece69a8c
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC55.0%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD22.3%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTURO19.7%
Results for event-7a9d43bb2405af32695b8dd8
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/S577e6dfa8e/20241,83655%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/S577e6dfa8e/202474622.3%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTUROmexico/S577e6dfa8e/202465819.7%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • HAGAMOS27.6%
  • PRD19.8%
  • PRI16.5%
  • MC15.6%
  • PAN11.3%
  • MORENA7.8%
Results for event-91b08537a4b786e22743aabf
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
HAGAMOSmexico/S32fcb10632/202186927.6%UnknownRecorded
PRDmexico/S32fcb10632/202162319.8%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/S32fcb10632/202151916.5%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/S32fcb10632/202149215.6%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/S32fcb10632/202135611.3%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/S32fcb10632/20212477.8%UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI7.9%
  • PAN_PRD_MC6.8%
  • PT_MORENA_ES3.4%
  • PANAL0.1%
  • PVEM0.0%
Results for event-f109ee7f9eb3843ccd98c1f9
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/S9fb9214979/20181,2677.9%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRD_MCmexico/S9fb9214979/20181,0956.8%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/S9fb9214979/20185383.4%UnknownRecorded
PANALmexico/S9fb9214979/2018170.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEMmexico/S9fb9214979/201820%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=33.641975308641975, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=7.920154539600773

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

56.18percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,56.666666666666664,0,43.33333333333333],[11.461687057308435,16.709594333547972,20.05795235028976,0,0,15.840309079201546,7.9523502897617515,27.978106889890533],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,56.666666666666664,0,43.33333333333333],[11.461687057308435,16.709594333547972,20.05795235028976,0,0,15.840309079201546,7.9523502897617515,27.978106889890533],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,56.666666666666664,0,43.33333333333333],[11.461687057308435,16.709594333547972,20.05795235028976,0,0,15.840309079201546,7.9523502897617515,27.978106889890533],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-14-33", "year": 2018, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": -12209.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CHIQUILISTLAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-33. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--S577e6dfa8e, mexico--S32fcb10632, mexico--S9fb9214979.