Skip to observatory content

Partial researchResearch snapshot 2026-09-13. Evidence gaps remain; see Coverage for requirements.

Office briefing

CHIMALTITAN — Municipal government

Tracked current office. Identifiers stay separate from display names.

Mexico · CHIMALTITAN / JALISCO · municipal · Municipal governmentMX-M-14-32

Read the complete original research briefing

INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

1. What office, where, and when is the next election?

Geography
CHIMALTITAN / JALISCO
Next election
2027-06-06
Linked upcoming event
next-ede4b361a86137d0b83cbb32
Registry qualification
Unknown

2. How certain is that date?

2027-06-06 is expected (not formally called). Day precision. A date without a formal call is not confirmed.

3. Who won earlier selected elections?

2024

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • MC49.2%
  • PAN_PRI_PRD39.1%
  • PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTURO9.4%
Results for event-e9c281ba052cd7df39609aed
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
MCmexico/Sa3b73d01da/20241,03049.2%UnknownRecorded
PAN_PRI_PRDmexico/Sa3b73d01da/202482039.1%UnknownRecorded
PVEM_PT_MORENA_HAGAMOS_FUTUROmexico/Sa3b73d01da/20241979.4%UnknownRecorded

2021

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PAN50.3%
  • PRI45.2%
  • MORENA1.7%
  • FUTURO0.6%
  • MC0.3%
  • HAGAMOS0.0%
  • PT0.0%
Results for event-97abbf0f44e928a2eeef50c6
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PANmexico/Sb8a99e1fee/20211,08650.3%UnknownRecorded
PRImexico/Sb8a99e1fee/202197645.2%UnknownRecorded
MORENAmexico/Sb8a99e1fee/2021371.7%UnknownRecorded
FUTUROmexico/Sb8a99e1fee/2021130.6%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb8a99e1fee/202160.3%UnknownRecorded
HAGAMOSmexico/Sb8a99e1fee/202110%UnknownRecorded
PTmexico/Sb8a99e1fee/20210 (recorded zero)0% (recorded zero)UnknownRecorded

2018

Special · Legal certification not established · candidate marks

  • PRI11.0%
  • PAN10.4%
  • MC3.0%
  • PT_MORENA_ES0.1%
Results for event-ddfbec2a029020ac2c395105
Label / candidateParty codeVotesShareSeatsStatus
PRImexico/Sb31500c2b8/20181,00411%UnknownRecorded
PANmexico/Sb31500c2b8/201895010.4%UnknownRecorded
MCmexico/Sb31500c2b8/20182783%UnknownRecorded
PT_MORENA_ESmexico/Sb31500c2b8/201890.1%UnknownRecorded

4. Competition and volatility

competition index

Withheld

Unknown0–100 historical closeness

Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Comparison unavailable · INE result distributions kept separate. Certified seats, supplementary elections, coalition and boundary audit remain.

Method ci.weighted-gap.v1. Inputs: latest_gap=10.258915486077193, oldest_gap=null, previous_gap=5.1911278905143945

pedersen volatility

Provisional volatility

99.06percentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Latest interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Latest interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,50.317537860283345,0,49.682462139716655],[51.25058990089665,46.059462010382255,0,0,0,0.2831524303916942,1.7461066540821142,0.6606890042472865],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Previous interval · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Previous interval, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,50.317537860283345,0,49.682462139716655],[51.25058990089665,46.059462010382255,0,0,0,0.2831524303916942,1.7461066540821142,0.6606890042472865],null]

pedersen volatility

Withheld volatility

Unknownpercentage points

Grouped Pedersen lower bound (percentage points). Seven exact standalone INE party labels. Joint coalition combinations, independents and other parties remain Other, without allocating coalition votes. This coarse grouped comparison can conceal coalition-member shifts and requires the stated geographic/event review. An interval is withheld if either election has no list mapped to an explicit named group. This is aggregate share change, not individual voter switching. Event review: Actual-event and/or comparability review incomplete

Comparison status: Both intervals mean · Comparable grouped vectors unavailable for this interval

Method pedersen.grouped.v1. Inputs: groups=["PAN","PRI","PRD","PT","PVEM","MC","MORENA","Other"], interval=Both intervals mean, vectors=[[0,0,0,0,0,50.317537860283345,0,49.682462139716655],[51.25058990089665,46.059462010382255,0,0,0,0.2831524303916942,1.7461066540821142,0.6606890042472865],null]

Source-reported control: Unverified. Current tenure requires separate dated evidence.

5. Officeholder evidence

Dated roster observations are not automatically current tenure. The source current-office flag means this office is tracked now, not that the last winner still holds it.

No officeholder observation supplied.

6. Polling context

No local poll supplied.

7. Unresolved issues and sources

  • other · open

    Reconciliation required: {"id": "MX-M-14-32", "year": 2018, "issue": "Reconciliation required", "total_delta": -6466.0, "duplicate_actor": false, "segments": 1}

Sources

Cite this record

Center for Digital Democracy. “CHIMALTITAN — Municipal government.” Subnational Election Observatory, releaselatin-america-fe5e91689def, snapshot 2026-09-13. /electiondatabase/offices/MX-M-14-32. Sources: mexico--url-3635e08ffbefd711526cbeea, mexico--Sa3b73d01da, mexico--Sb8a99e1fee, mexico--Sb31500c2b8.